#563 overall · ATL · 59.5 projected half-PPR pts · -106.3 Draft Value
Zane Gonzalez — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Zane Gonzalez put together a strong 2025 season in Atlanta. He connected on 19 of 22 field goal attempts, missing just one, and converted all 17 of his extra point attempts out of 18 tries. The distance profile was notable: 8 of those makes came from 40-49 yards and 7 came from 50-plus yards, meaning more than two-thirds of his field goals were from mid-to-long range. That kind of volume and accuracy from distance is a real production floor for a kicker. The three-year aggregate (2023-2025) shows a per-season average of 12 field goals made on 14.5 attempts with 18 extra points, and just 1.5 misses per season. The 2025 line is the best of that window by a clear margin.
What the model projects
The projection is 59.5 half-PPR fantasy points. That number sits at K42 and #513 overall, placing Gonzalez in Tier 9. His draft value is -116.0, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 36.0 |
| 2025 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 95.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 12 | 1.5 | 18 | 16.5 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is typical for kickers. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons lands at 0.0 points, and the 25th percentile is just 3.5. The median simulated season comes in at 26.5 points. The upside tail is meaningful: the 75th percentile reaches 71.1 points and the top 10% of simulated seasons hits 111.9. The gap between the median and the 90th percentile is large, reflecting how much kicker scoring depends on team context and opportunity volume in any given season.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Gonzalez is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no draft-slot anchor to work from. At K42 and #513 overall in Tier 9, he ranks well outside the range where most drafters spend picks. In a standard 12-team snake draft, kickers are typically taken in the final rounds, and Gonzalez's rank reflects that reality. If you are targeting a late-round kicker with a recent high-volume season on his resume, his 2025 line gives you something to point to, but his negative draft value means the projection does not clear replacement level at the position.
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Questions drafters ask
At K42 and #513 overall in Tier 9, his draft value is -116.0, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The projection of 59.5 points and a median simulated season of 26.5 points reflect a player whose expected output does not clear the replacement bar. He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being consistently drafted across platforms.
He made 19 of 22 field goal attempts in 2025, missing just one, and converted 17 of 18 extra point attempts. His three-year average miss rate is 1.5 per season on 14.5 attempts, so the 2025 accuracy was in line with his recent track record.
In 2025, Gonzalez made 4 field goals from 0-39 yards, 8 from 40-49 yards, and 7 from 50-plus yards. That means 15 of his 19 makes came from 40 yards or beyond, a long-range-heavy profile.
The 90th-percentile simulated season lands at 111.9 half-PPR points, and the 75th percentile is 71.1. Those figures represent the top end of his outcome band, reached in roughly 10% and 25% of simulated seasons respectively. The downside is real too: the 10th percentile is 0.0 points and the median is just 26.5.
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Beyond the rankings
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