Austin Seibert — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Austin Seibert's 2024 season is the clearest argument in his favor. He connected on 27 of 30 field goal attempts, missing only 2, and converted 22 of 24 extra point tries. His range showed up in the splits: 17 makes from inside 40 yards, 8 from 40-49, and 2 from 50 or beyond. That is a full workload with a strong accuracy rate, and it came with Washington, giving him a real NFL job and a volume of attempts that matters for fantasy kickers.

What the model projects

The projection is 62.3 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value sits at -114.7, placing Seibert at K41 and #489 overall in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect where kickers land in a value-over-replacement framework at the end of a 12-team half-PPR ranking set.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide. The bottom 10% of outcomes lands at 0.0 points, and the 25th percentile is just 3.9. The median simulated season comes in at 29.5 points. Move to the optimistic side and the 75th percentile reaches 75.6, with the top 10% of outcomes at 116.3. That spread from floor to ceiling is among the widest you will see at the position, which is a feature of kicker scoring in general: a lost job or a team that stops moving the ball collapses the number fast, while a high-volume offense in a dome can push it well past the projection.

How to draft him

Seibert does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms tracked. In a standard 12-team snake draft, kickers are typically taken in the final round or two as a last-pick formality. If you want Seibert specifically, there is no evidence you need to spend an early pick to secure him. Wait until the position runs thin, then decide whether his 2024 workload with Washington makes him the kicker you want closing out your roster.

His draft value is -114.7 and he ranks K41 and #489 overall in Tier 9, which puts him below replacement level in a 12-team half-PPR format. That said, kickers as a group tend to cluster at the bottom of value-based rankings, and his 2024 accuracy (27-of-30 on field goals) and volume (30 attempts) are real positives if you are targeting him as a late-round streamer.

His recent history is uneven in volume. In 2023 he attempted just 1 field goal and 1 extra point. In 2024 he attempted 30 field goals and 24 extra points. The 3-year aggregate (2023-2025) averages out to 15.5 field goal attempts and 12.5 extra point attempts per season, with 1 miss on field goals across that window.

The band runs from 0.0 points at the 10th percentile to 116.3 at the 90th, with a median of 29.5. The floor is a complete bust scenario; the ceiling is a genuinely useful fantasy season. The gap between those two outcomes is large, so Seibert carries real variance in either direction.

There is no market ADP available for Seibert across tracked public 2026 draft platforms, meaning he is not being consistently selected. You are unlikely to need to spend a pick on him before the final rounds of a 12-team draft, if at all.