#588 overall · LAC · 6.8 projected half-PPR pts · -108.4 Draft Value
Theo Wease — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Theo Wease plays for the Los Angeles Chargers and carries a bye in Week 7. His 2025 season produced 10 targets, 6 receptions, 139 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown. Those are the only NFL receiving numbers on record across the three-year window from 2023 through 2025, meaning 2025 represents the entirety of his tracked production. The touchdown shows he can find the end zone when given a chance. That is the full factual case.
What the model projects
The projection is 7.0 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. Wease ranks #624 overall and WR193, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -121.6, which places him below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10 | 6 | 139 | 1 | 22.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 10 | 6 | 139 | 1 | 22.9 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed heavily toward zero. The p10 and p25 both land at 0.0 points, meaning at least a quarter of simulated seasons produce nothing. The median simulated season (p50) comes in at 3.6 points. The p75 reaches 11.6 points, and the p90 sits at 38.3 points. That top-decile outcome is real, but the distribution makes clear that most simulated seasons end with minimal or no fantasy contribution.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Wease does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. At #624 overall and WR193 with a draft value of -121.6, he is a deep-roster name at best. In standard 12-team formats he would only be relevant as a late-waiver-wire consideration, not a draft target.
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Questions drafters ask
His entire tracked production across the 2023-2025 window comes from 2025: 10 targets, 6 receptions, 139 yards, and 1 touchdown. There is nothing on record from 2023 or 2024.
The model projects 7.0 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. He ranks #624 overall and WR193 in Tier 9, with a draft value of -121.6.
The p90 simulated outcome reaches 38.3 points, so a top-decile season exists in the model. However, the p50 median is just 3.6 points and both the p10 and p25 are 0.0, so the distribution is heavily weighted toward minimal production.
He has no market ADP in 2026 public drafts, meaning he is not being consistently selected. At WR193 and #624 overall, he is outside the range of any standard draft and would only be relevant as a waiver-wire addition.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.