#357 overall · DET · 34.2 projected half-PPR pts · -81.5 Draft Value
Tyler Conklin — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyler Conklin is a Detroit Lions tight end with a bye in Week 6. At TE53 and #330 overall, the case for drafting him in a standard 12-team half-PPR snake draft is narrow. His draftValue sits at -88.1, meaning the projection places him below replacement level at the tight end position. In most draft contexts, he is a late-flier or a waiver-wire name rather than a pick you plan around. The one honest argument for rostering him is roster-construction flexibility: if your tight end situation is unsettled deep into a draft, Conklin is a name to know.
What the model projects
The projection is 34.2 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. That is the headline number. His draftValue of -88.1 reflects how that projection compares to replacement level at the tight end position in a 12-team half-PPR format. He sits in Tier 9 and ranks TE53, placing him well outside the range of tight ends who move the needle in a fantasy lineup.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The median simulated season lands at 29.0 points, slightly below the 34.2 point projection. In a bad season, the bottom 10 percent of simulated outcomes fall at or below 2.4 points. The 25th percentile is 11.6 points. On the upside, the 75th percentile reaches 52.5 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or above 80.6 points. That upper tail is real, but the distribution makes clear that the most likely outcomes cluster well below the threshold of fantasy relevance at tight end. The gap between the floor and the ceiling is substantial, which signals high variance rather than reliable production.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Conklin does not have a market ADP available, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to register a median pick number. In practice, that means he is available as a free agent or a final-round dart in most drafts. Plan your tight end investment earlier in the draft. If you reach the final rounds without a viable starter at the position, Conklin is a name to consider, but he should not factor into your draft strategy before that point. Note his Week 6 bye when managing your roster.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
The projection is 34.2 half-PPR points with a draftValue of -88.1, placing him below replacement level at tight end. He ranks TE53 and #330 overall in Tier 9. He is not a player to target with a meaningful pick in most formats.
The top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or above 80.6 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile outcome is 52.5 points. There is a real upper tail, but the median simulated season is only 29.0 points, so that upside is not the most likely result.
He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to produce a median pick number. He is effectively a free agent or final-round option in most drafts.
Conklin and the Detroit Lions are on bye in Week 6.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.