Ty Simpson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Ty Simpson is a Los Angeles Rams quarterback sitting at QB30 and #337 overall in a 12-team half-PPR context. Those numbers do not make him a starter on most fantasy rosters, and that is fine. The case for rostering him is narrow but real: he carries a Tier 9 designation, a bye in Week 11, and a projection that, in its upper range, climbs well above what most late-list quarterbacks can offer. If you are running a two-QB or superflex league, or if you want a deep handcuff at the position, Simpson is a name to know. The floor is low, but the ceiling is not zero.

What the model projects

The projection for Simpson is 163.8 half-PPR fantasy points on the season. His draft value sits at -90.1, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the quarterback position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. That is the honest read of where he stands heading into 2026. He is QB30 and #337 overall, placed in Tier 9. The point estimate of 163.8 is the headline number, and it reflects a player who is not currently projected to return value relative to what is available at the position.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band for Simpson is wide, which is itself meaningful information. At the 10th percentile, he finishes at 40.2 points, a near-empty season. The 25th percentile lands at 88.5 and the median at 132.7, both well below the projection's point estimate of 163.8, which signals the distribution is right-skewed. The 75th percentile reaches 210.0 points and the 90th percentile climbs to 276.6. That upper band represents a legitimate fantasy contributor at the position. The spread from p10 to p90 runs 236.4 points, one of the wider bands you will find at any position. Simpson is a high-variance asset: most simulated seasons are modest, but a meaningful share of them produce a starter-worthy output.

How to draft him

Simpson does not have a market ADP available, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to produce a reliable median pick number. In practice, that means he is available as a free pickup in most drafts or as a final-round flier if he surfaces at all. His Week 11 bye is worth noting when building your roster schedule. Given his negative draft value and QB30 rank, he belongs at the very back of your draft queue, taken only after your positional needs are fully addressed. In deeper formats where quarterback scarcity is real, the 276.6-point upside at the 90th percentile gives him a reason to exist on your roster.

The projection of 163.8 points and a draft value of -90.1 put him below replacement level at the position. He is QB30 and #337 overall in Tier 9. In a single-QB format, he is not a player to spend a meaningful pick on. In deeper or two-QB formats, the 90th-percentile outcome of 276.6 points gives him limited but real upside worth a late flier.

The band is wide. The median simulated season lands at 132.7 points, but the 75th percentile reaches 210.0 and the 90th hits 276.6. Roughly one in four simulated seasons produces at least 210.0 points, which is a usable number at the position. The downside is real too: the 10th percentile is just 40.2 points. He is a high-variance option, not a reliable one.

Simpson does not have a market ADP available. He is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to produce a median pick number, so he is effectively undrafted in most leagues. There is no pick cost to plan around at this time.

Simpson and the Los Angeles Rams are on bye in Week 11. Factor that into your roster construction if you do add him as a streamer or handcuff.