#368 overall · CAR · 82.6 projected half-PPR pts · -83.3 Draft Value
Ryan Fitzgerald — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Ryan Fitzgerald handled kicking duties for Carolina in 2025, converting 24 of 29 field goal attempts with 27 extra points on 30 attempts. His range showed up in the long-distance work: 8 makes from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus. The three-year aggregate through 2025 matches the single-season line exactly, which tells you his NFL sample is concentrated in that one year. For a drafter who wants a kicker with documented range and a recent full-season workload, that 2025 résumé is the entire argument.
What the model projects
The projection is 82.6 half-PPR fantasy points. Fitzgerald sits at K32 and #301 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -83.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Those numbers describe where he stands in the rankings; they do not flatter him.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 4 | 27 | 107.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24 | 4 | 27 | 23.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed hard toward the low end. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons land at 0.0 points, and the 25th percentile is just 8.2. The median simulated season comes in at 63.0 points. Things improve meaningfully at the upper end: the 75th percentile is 115.0 and the 90th percentile reaches 142.6. The gap between the median and the 90th percentile is larger than the gap between the median and zero, which captures how volatile kicker scoring can be. A good season is possible; a near-zero season is also well within the distribution.
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our projection
How to draft him
Fitzgerald is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or post-draft addition in most leagues. His Tier 9 placement and -83.3 draft value put him at the back of the kicker rankings. Carolina's bye falls in Week 5, worth noting for roster planning. If you are targeting him, the window is late, and the projection reflects the risk that comes with that territory.
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Questions drafters ask
He went 24-for-29 on field goals with 27 extra points on 30 attempts. He made 14 from inside 40 yards, 8 from 40-49, and 2 from 50-plus, missing 4 attempts on the year.
The projection is 82.6 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks K32 at the position and #301 overall, placing him in Tier 9 with a draft value of -83.3.
Very. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons end at 0.0 points and the 25th percentile is 8.2. The median is 63.0, but the 90th percentile climbs to 142.6, so the upside tail is real even if the floor is near zero.
He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is effectively a free agent in most draft rooms and can be picked up after the draft or in the final rounds without competition.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.