#43 overall · CLE · 154.5 projected half-PPR pts · +26.7 Draft Value · Market ADP 48.9
Quinshon Judkins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Quinshon Judkins carried the ball 230 times for 827 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns in 2025, adding 26 receptions for 171 receiving yards. That is a full-season workload at the featured-back level, and the touch volume alone makes him a legitimate fantasy asset in Cleveland's backfield. His 36 targets show a team willing to involve him in the passing game, even if the receiving numbers are modest. The foundation here is volume: 230 rush attempts is a number that produces fantasy points regardless of efficiency, and 7 rushing touchdowns confirm he was the goal-line option. For drafters building a roster around floor, Judkins offers a clear path to weekly relevance.
What the model projects
The projection is 154.5 half-PPR fantasy points this season. That produces a Draft Value of +26.7, meaning he projects above replacement level at the running back position. He ranks #43 overall and RB23, placing him in Tier 6 of the rankings. His bye week is Week 11.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 230 | 827 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 171 | 154.8 |
| 3-yr avg | 230 | 827 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 171 | 154.8 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is consistent with a back whose role could shift in either direction. In a bottom-10% outcome, the season finishes at 62.5 points. The 25th percentile lands at 109.3 points, and the median simulated season comes in at 163.5 points, slightly above the 154.5 point projection. A strong season at the 75th percentile reaches 210.9 points, and a top-10% outcome pushes to 247.0 points. The gap between the 10th and 90th percentile is nearly 185 points, so the downside is real. Drafters should price in both the floor and the ceiling when deciding how much to commit.
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our projection
How to draft him
The market is drafting Judkins at an average pick of 48.9, which works out to pick 5.01 in a 12-team snake draft. That is where you will need to spend a pick to secure him. He sits at #43 overall in our rankings and RB23 at his position. With a bye in Week 11, plan your roster depth accordingly for that stretch of the season.
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Questions drafters ask
He logged 230 rush attempts, 827 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 36 targets, 26 receptions, and 171 receiving yards in 2025. Those are his only seasons on record, so the 2025 line is also his full three-year aggregate.
The projection is 154.5 half-PPR fantasy points, with a Draft Value of +26.7. He ranks #43 overall and RB23, placing him in Tier 6.
The simulated season band runs from 62.5 points at the 10th percentile to 247.0 points at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 163.5 points. The spread is significant, so both a disappointing and a strong season are well within the range of realistic outcomes.
The market is taking him at an average of pick 48.9, which is pick 5.01 in a 12-team snake draft. If you want him, that is the round where you will need to commit.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
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