#41 overall · SEA · 155.7 projected half-PPR pts · +27.8 Draft Value · Market ADP 55.9
Jadarian Price — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jadarian Price sits at RB22 with a positive draft value of +27.8 points above replacement, which means he projects as a net contributor in a 12-team half-PPR league, not a roster filler. He lands in Tier 6 of the overall rankings, and at #41 overall he is well inside the range where a drafter can reasonably expect a weekly-starter-caliber back. Seattle's offense gives him a real platform, and the projection at 155.7 points reflects a workload that matters. For a drafter building depth at running back, Price offers a floor that clears replacement level with room to spare.
What the model projects
The projection is 155.7 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. That is the headline number: a point estimate that places Price at RB22 and #41 overall, with a draft value of +27.8 above the 12-team half-PPR replacement baseline. His bye week is Week 11, which is worth noting for roster management purposes late in the fantasy regular season.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is the honest reality for a back at this tier. In a bottom-10% season, Price finishes at 63.4 points. The 25th percentile lands at 110.6, and the median simulated season comes in at 164.9 points, slightly above the point estimate of 155.7. A strong season at the 75th percentile produces 212.4 points, and a top-10% outcome reaches 248.2. That spread from 63.4 to 248.2 tells you this is a high-variance asset: the downside is a near-irrelevant season, and the upside is a back who finishes as a weekly starter with genuine RB1 weeks mixed in.
(bottom 10%)
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our projection
How to draft him
The market is currently taking Price at pick 55.9 on average, which works out to the 8th pick of the 5th round in a 12-team draft. That is the window where you need to be ready to spend a pick if you want him. He is ranked #41 overall on this page, so plan accordingly: if you are targeting Price, the 5th round is when the decision becomes real. His Week 11 bye is a minor but real scheduling consideration worth flagging before draft day.
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Questions drafters ask
The market ADP is 55.9, which translates to the 8th pick of the 5th round in a 12-team draft. That is when you would need to spend a pick to secure him, based on where he is currently going across public drafts.
Yes. His draft value is +27.8, meaning the projection of 155.7 half-PPR points sits 27.8 points above the replacement-level baseline for running backs in a 12-team half-PPR league.
The 90th-percentile simulated outcome is 248.2 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile lands at 212.4. Those are the top-10% and top-25% season outcomes from the simulation band.
The 10th-percentile simulated season is 63.4 points, and the 25th percentile is 110.6. Those represent the bottom range of outcomes across simulated seasons, so the downside is a largely unusable fantasy asset in a bad-case scenario.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.