Philadelphia Eagles — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Philadelphia has been one of the most consistent pass-rush units in the league over the past three seasons, averaging 42 sacks per year from 2023 through 2025. The takeaway production backs that up: 11.3 interceptions and 10 fumble recoveries per season over that same stretch, with 16.7 forced fumbles annually creating the opportunities. The 2024 season was the clearest expression of what this defense can be. Points allowed dropped to 303, the unit posted 13 interceptions and 13 fumble recoveries, and opponents were held to 13 points or fewer in six of their games. The 2025 season showed some regression in points allowed (325) but the sack total held at 42, interceptions stayed at 12, and the defense added a shutout and a safety. Three touchdowns in 2025 also marked the unit's best scoring output of the three-year window. The floor here is real: 41-to-43 sacks in every season of this sample, double-digit interceptions in two of three years, and a points-allowed profile that trends toward low-scoring games more often than not.

What the model projects

The projection is 135.5 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. Philadelphia comes in at DST7 and #99 overall, sitting in Tier 9. The draft value is -10.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That number reflects where the position ranks relative to the full field, not a verdict on the unit's real-world quality. The bye week falls in Week 10, which is worth noting for roster planning.

The range of outcomes

The three-year history gives a useful frame for how wide the outcome band can run at the DST position. Points allowed swung from 303 in 2024 to 428 in 2023, a 125-point gap in a single stat category. The game-level breakdown tells the same story: in 2023, Philadelphia allowed 35-plus points twice and 28-to-34 points five times; in 2024, those same buckets held just one and two games respectively. Sack totals have been remarkably stable (41, 43, 42), so the variance lives primarily in the scoring environment and turnover luck. Interceptions ranged from 9 to 13 across the three seasons. The upside case is a repeat of the 2024 defensive environment: low points allowed, high turnover volume, and consistent pressure. The downside case looks more like 2023, when the scoring environment worked against the unit despite similar pressure numbers.

How to draft him

Philadelphia is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick-cost signal to work with here. At DST7 and #99 overall in Tier 9, this is a late-round DST target in a standard 12-team snake draft. The -10.3 draft value means the projection sits below replacement level, which is the normal condition for most DSTs outside the top few. The practical approach is to treat Philadelphia as a streaming-eligible option: monitor the schedule around the Week 10 bye and be prepared to pivot if a better matchup presents itself. The sack consistency and turnover upside make this a reasonable late anchor if you want a set-and-check option rather than a pure streamer.

The projection is 135.5 points and the draft value is -10.3, placing Philadelphia at DST7 and #99 overall in Tier 9. That below-replacement-level draft value is typical for most DSTs outside the top tier. There is no market ADP available, which means the unit is not being consistently drafted across platforms. That combination makes Philadelphia a reasonable late-round anchor if you prefer a set option, but the numbers also support a streaming approach given the position's overall depth.

Philadelphia recorded 43, 41, and 42 sacks across the 2023, 2024, and 2025 seasons, a three-year average of exactly 42. That level of sack consistency is a reliable fantasy floor. Interceptions ranged from 9 to 13 over the same window, averaging 11.3 per season, and forced fumbles averaged 16.7 annually. The pressure numbers have been stable; the variance in fantasy scoring has come primarily from the points-allowed environment.

Points allowed dropped from 428 in 2023 to 303 in 2024, a significant improvement. The game-level breakdown shifted sharply: in 2023, Philadelphia allowed 28-plus points in seven games; in 2024, that number fell to three. Interceptions jumped from 9 to 13 and fumble recoveries went from 8 to 13. In 2025, points allowed ticked back up to 325, interceptions came in at 12, and fumble recoveries settled at 9, so the unit held most of the 2024 gains while sacks remained at 42.

Philadelphia's bye falls in Week 10. At DST7 with no market ADP available, the unit is likely a late-round selection. Plan to carry a streaming option or a handcuff DST heading into that week, and use the open roster spot to target a favorable matchup for the bye week replacement.