#78 overall · JAX · 127.4 projected half-PPR pts · -1.8 Draft Value · Market ADP 63.2
Parker Washington — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Parker Washington's 2025 season is the clearest argument for his inclusion in a 2026 draft. He posted 847 receiving yards, 58 receptions, 95 targets, and 5 receiving touchdowns, a sharp step forward from the 390 yards and 51 targets he saw in 2024. The three-year averages tell the same story of a player whose role has expanded each season: 55.7 targets, 35.3 receptions, 456.3 receiving yards, and 3.3 receiving touchdowns per year across 2023 through 2025. The 2025 line is well above every one of those averages, which means the trajectory is pointing in the right direction heading into 2026. He also added 7 rush attempts in 2025, a small but real sign of involvement beyond the passing game. Washington is a Tier 9 player at WR34, and his bye is Week 7.
What the model projects
The projection for Washington is 127.4 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -1.8, which places him just below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks #78 overall. The median simulated season lands at 127.5 points, essentially in line with the point estimate.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | 16 | 132 | 2 | — | 1 | 31.2 |
| 2024 | 51 | 32 | 390 | 3 | — | 1 | 73.0 |
| 2025 | 95 | 58 | 847 | 5 | 7 | — | 143.7 |
| 3-yr avg | 55.7 | 35.3 | 456.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 83.1 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. At the pessimistic end, 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or below 52.5 points. The 25th percentile is 87.3 points. The median is 127.5 points. The 75th percentile reaches 162.3 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or above 201.8 points. That is a spread of roughly 150 points between the 10th and 90th percentiles, which reflects genuine uncertainty about how much of the 2025 breakout carries forward. A strong outcome puts Washington in a genuinely useful fantasy range; a weak one leaves him well short of value.
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(median)
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our projection
How to draft him
Washington is going at an average pick of 63.2 across two platforms, which works out to pick 6.03 in a 12-team snake draft. That is the sixth round, third pick. His overall rank is #78 overall and his position rank is WR34. Drafters who want him should plan to spend a sixth-round pick to secure him, as that is where the market is currently pricing him.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 58 passes on 95 targets for 847 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, also adding 7 rush attempts. It was a clear step up from his 2024 line of 32 receptions, 51 targets, 390 yards, and 3 touchdowns.
The projection is 127.4 half-PPR fantasy points, with a median simulated season of 127.5 points. His draft value is -1.8, placing him just below replacement level at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format.
The 10th-percentile simulated season finishes at 52.5 points and the 90th percentile finishes at 201.8 points. The 25th percentile is 87.3 and the 75th is 162.3, so the band is wide and the upside case is meaningfully better than the downside.
The market has him going at an average pick of 63.2, which is pick 6.03 in a 12-team snake draft. Plan to use a sixth-round pick if you want him on your roster.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.