#206 overall · NYJ · 94.1 projected half-PPR pts · -51.7 Draft Value
New York Jets — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Jets have a three-year average of 38 sacks, 8 interceptions, 12.3 forced fumbles, and 8 fumbles recovered per season. The 2023 version of this defense was genuinely productive: 46 sacks, 17 interceptions, 14 forced fumbles, and 3 defensive touchdowns. That season is a real data point, not a fluke, and it sits inside the same three-year window the projection draws from. If you are deep into a draft and need a DST to close out your roster, the Jets' ceiling is documented.
What the model projects
The projection is 94.1 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -51.7, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the DST position. That places the Jets at DST28 and #207 overall, in Tier 9.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 46 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 355 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 151.0 |
| 2024 | 42 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 1 | — | 404 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 102.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | — | 9 | 4 | 4 | — | 503 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 51.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 38 | 8 | 12.3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 420.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 99.1 |
The range of outcomes
The three-year trend tells a clear story. Points allowed climbed from 355 in 2023 to 404 in 2024 to 503 in 2025. Sacks fell from 46 to 42 to 26 over the same span. Interceptions dropped from 17 in 2023 to 7 in 2024; the 2025 figure is not in the record. Fumbles recovered fell from 10 in each of the first two seasons to 4 in 2025. The 2025 season included five games allowing 35 or more points and five games allowing 28 to 34. The upside case leans on the 2023 production returning; the downside case is the 2025 trajectory continuing. Both are plausible, and the spread between them is wide.
How to draft him
The Jets carry no market ADP, meaning they are not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to produce one. At DST28 and #207 overall, they are a late-roster fill-in at best. Treat them as a streaming option or a final-round handcuff rather than a planned starter. Their bye is Week 13, which lands late in the fantasy regular season, so factor that into any streaming calculus.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 94.1 points with a draft value of -51.7, placing them at DST28 and #207 overall in Tier 9. That is below replacement level, so they are not a recommended planned starter in a standard 12-team format.
Over the past three seasons, the Jets averaged 38 sacks, 8 interceptions, 12.3 forced fumbles, and 8 fumbles recovered per year. The trend, however, has moved in the wrong direction: sacks fell from 46 in 2023 to 26 in 2025, interceptions dropped from 17 to 7 between 2023 and 2024, and points allowed rose from 355 in 2023 to 503 in 2025.
There is no market ADP available, which means they are not being consistently drafted across public platforms. They are a streaming or final-round consideration, not a target at any specific pick.
Their bye is Week 13. That falls late in most fantasy regular seasons, so if you start them, you will need a streaming replacement at a critical point in the schedule.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
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