#289 overall · JAX · 48.5 projected half-PPR pts · -67.2 Draft Value
Nate Boerkircher — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Nate Boerkircher is a tight end on the Jacksonville Jaguars roster with a bye in Week 7. At TE36 and #259 overall, the case for drafting him in a standard 12-team half-PPR snake draft is thin by the numbers. He sits in Tier 9, which places him well outside the range where most drafters are allocating meaningful picks. If you are building a deep roster or need a late-flier at the position, he is a name to know, but the projection does not make a strong argument on its own.
What the model projects
The projection is 48.7 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. His draft value is -71.6, meaning he projects below replacement level at the tight end position in a 12-team half-PPR format. At #259 overall and TE36, he ranks among the deepest options at the position in these rankings.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide relative to the projection, which signals meaningful variance in how his year could unfold. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 10.2 points, and the 25th percentile sits at 24.3. The median simulated season comes in at 47.0 points, close to the 48.7 point projection. From there, the upside opens up: the 75th percentile reaches 71.6 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 105.3. That p90 number is the one reason a drafter might take a flier late, but the floor is genuinely low and the median is modest.
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our projection
How to draft him
Boerkircher does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being drafted consistently enough on major platforms to produce one. In practice, he is a free agent in most drafts. If you want him, you can likely add him off the waiver wire rather than spending a pick. His bye falls in Week 7, worth noting if you are stacking a roster around that slot.
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Questions drafters ask
The numbers make it a tough sell. He projects at 48.7 points with a draft value of -71.6, placing him below replacement level at tight end. He ranks TE36 and #259 overall in Tier 9. His market ADP is unavailable, meaning he is not being consistently drafted on public platforms, so a pick is likely not required to land him.
The top 10 percent of his simulated seasons finish at 105.3 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile lands at 71.6. Those are the realistic ceiling markers from the projection band, though the median simulated season is just 47.0 points.
The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons come in at 10.2 points, and the 25th percentile is 24.3. The downside is real and the floor is among the lowest in the band, consistent with a player projecting below replacement level.
Boerkircher's bye is Week 7, which is relevant if you are managing a tight end-thin roster and need streaming coverage around that slot.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.