#290 overall · MIA · 47.9 projected half-PPR pts · -67.4 Draft Value
Malik Washington — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Malik Washington took a clear step forward in 2025. He turned 65 targets into 46 receptions for 317 receiving yards, added 17 rush attempts for 110 yards, and scored four total touchdowns, three receiving and one rushing. That is a meaningful jump from his 2024 line of 36 targets, 26 catches, and 223 receiving yards. The dual-use role is real: his three-year averages show 11 rush attempts and 50.5 targets per season, a profile that keeps him involved in multiple ways. For a drafter hunting late-round volume in Miami, Washington's 2025 workload is the foundation of the argument.
What the model projects
The projection is 88.0 half-PPR fantasy points. Washington sits at WR68 and #174 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -40.8, which means the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number is 88.0 points; that is the figure to anchor expectations around heading into 2026.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36 | 26 | 223 | — | 5 | 25 | 1 | — | 43.8 |
| 2025 | 65 | 46 | 317 | 3 | 17 | 110 | 1 | 1 | 87.7 |
| 3-yr avg | 50.5 | 36 | 270 | 1.5 | 11 | 67.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 66.8 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. The 10th-percentile outcome is 17.3 points, a near-zero fantasy season. The 25th percentile reaches 38.6 points, still well below useful. The median simulated season lands at 70.7 points, short of the 88.0 projection. The 75th percentile climbs to 106.9 points, and the 90th percentile reaches 158.5 points. That top-decile outcome is more than nine times the bottom-decile figure, which tells you the variance here is substantial. Washington's floor is very low; his ceiling, while real, requires things to break right. His bye is Week 6, worth noting for roster management.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP sits at 161.8, which works out to pick 14.06 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is a 14th-round pick. Washington is ranked #174 overall by draft value. At that stage of a draft, roster spots are scarce and the decision is whether his 2025 usage trend and dual-role profile justify a final-round flier. The wide outcome band means the upside is real but far from guaranteed. Draft him only if you have already addressed your core roster needs and are comfortable with the variance his profile carries.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 46 of 65 targets for 317 receiving yards and 3 receiving touchdowns, and added 17 rush attempts for 110 yards and 1 rushing touchdown. He also lost 1 fumble on the season.
The projection is 88.0 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks WR68 and #174 overall with a draft value of -40.8, placing him in Tier 9.
The simulated season band runs from 17.3 points at the 10th percentile to 158.5 points at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 70.7 points. The floor is very low; a near-zero fantasy contribution is a real possibility in the bottom 10% of outcomes.
His market ADP is 161.8, which translates to pick 14.06 in a 12-team draft. That figure is drawn from a median across two platforms. Expect to spend a 14th-round pick if you want to secure him.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.