#167 overall · MIA · 110.3 projected half-PPR pts · -35.5 Draft Value
Miami Dolphins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Miami Dolphins have shown genuine pass-rush production over the past three seasons. Their three-year average sits at 43.3 sacks per season, anchored by a standout 56-sack campaign in 2023. Turnovers have been a consistent part of the profile as well: 11.3 forced fumbles and 11.3 interceptions per season on average across 2023-2025, with 9.7 fumble recoveries per year. The 2023 unit in particular was a fantasy-relevant defense, posting 15 interceptions, 12 fumble recoveries, and 4 defensive touchdowns. If any portion of that upside resurfaces, the floor here looks understated relative to the late-draft cost.
What the model projects
The projection is 110.3 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That places the Dolphins at #165 overall and DST21 in Tier 9. The draft value is -35.5, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. This is a below-the-line unit by the model's accounting, and the numbers should be read plainly on those terms.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 0 | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 56 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 4 | — | 391 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 162.0 |
| 2024 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 6 | — | — | 364 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 6 | — | 87.0 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 424 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 101.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 43.3 | 11.3 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 393 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 107.4 |
The range of outcomes
The three-year history illustrates how wide the variance can be for this unit. Points allowed ranged from 364 in 2024 to 424 in 2025, with the 2025 season featuring seven games surrendering 28-34 points. Sacks dropped from 56 in 2023 to 35 in 2024 before recovering to 39 in 2025. Interceptions followed a similar arc: 15 in 2023, 10 in 2024, 9 in 2025. Defensive touchdowns fell to just 1 in 2025 after 4 in 2023. The 2023 ceiling is real, but the 2024-2025 trend lines show a unit that has not consistently reproduced it. A drafter targeting this defense is betting on a rebound in the big-play categories.
How to draft him
The Dolphins carry no market ADP across tracked platforms, which means they are not being drafted consistently enough to establish a median pick. In practice, that makes them a free agent in most drafts rather than a pick you need to plan around. Note the bye week falls in Week 6. At DST21 with a negative draft value, this is a late-round or waiver-wire option at best, and the roster decision should hinge on what is available at the time rather than any pre-draft commitment.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 110.3 half-PPR fantasy points. That ranks them DST21 and #165 overall, placing them in Tier 9 with a draft value of -35.5, which is below replacement level for the position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
Sacks went from 56 in 2023 to 35 in 2024 and back up to 39 in 2025, for a three-year average of 43.3. The 2023 number is the high-water mark; the unit has not returned to that level in the two seasons since.
There is no market ADP available for the Dolphins DST across tracked platforms, so there is no established draft slot to plan around. They are effectively a waiver-wire or last-round add rather than a pick that requires advance planning. Their bye week is Week 6.
The 2023 season is the clearest upside reference: 56 sacks, 15 interceptions, 12 fumble recoveries, 15 forced fumbles, and 4 defensive touchdowns. Points allowed that year were 391. That profile has not been matched since, but it establishes what the unit is capable of in a strong year.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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