#166 overall · CHI · 75.0 projected half-PPR pts · -35.2 Draft Value
Kyle Monangai — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Kyle Monangai is an RB on the Chicago Bears with one season of NFL production on record. In 2025 he carried the ball 169 times for 783 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns, adding 18 receptions on 30 targets for 164 receiving yards. That is a real workload, and the receiving involvement shows he has a role in the passing game as well as on the ground. For a drafter building depth late, that kind of dual-threat usage is the foundation of a viable roster spot.
What the model projects
The projection is 96.3 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. Monangai ranks #156 overall and RB38, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -31.5, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The median simulated season lands at 96.2 points, essentially in line with the point estimate.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 169 | 783 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 164 | 133.7 |
| 3-yr avg | 169 | 783 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 164 | 133.7 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. At the low end, the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 22.6 points. The 25th percentile is 51.7 points. The median is 96.2 points. The 75th percentile reaches 139.7 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 186.3 points. That spread from 22.6 to 186.3 reflects meaningful variance: a strong outcome is possible, but so is a season where he contributes very little. Drafters should treat him as a high-variance depth piece rather than a reliable weekly starter.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP has Monangai going at pick 99.0 across two platforms, which translates to the 9th round, 3rd pick in a 12-team draft. His bye week is 10. At RB38 with a negative draft value, he profiles as a late-round handcuff or depth add. If you are targeting him, Round 9 is when you would need to spend a pick to secure him. Given the wide outcome band, he is best used as a speculative roster spot rather than a core piece of your lineup.
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Questions drafters ask
He carried the ball 169 times for 783 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns in 2025.
Yes. In 2025 he saw 30 targets, caught 18 of them, and gained 164 receiving yards, showing a real role in the passing game.
The projection is 96.3 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks #156 overall and RB38, in Tier 9, with a draft value of -31.5.
Market ADP puts him at pick 99.0, which is Round 9, pick 3 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.