#164 overall · IND · 112.2 projected half-PPR pts · -33.6 Draft Value
Indianapolis Colts — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been consistent in one area over the past three seasons: it generates turnovers. The three-year averages tell the story plainly: 15 interceptions, 8.3 fumble recoveries, and 15 forced fumbles per season. The 2023 campaign was the high-water mark, with 51 sacks, 15 interceptions, and 9 fumble recoveries. The sack total dipped to 36 in 2024 before settling at 39 in 2025, and interceptions have held in a tight band of 14 to 16 across all three years. For a drafter hunting a late-round DST with a real turnover floor, the Colts have demonstrated that floor exists. The bye falls in Week 13, late enough that streaming alternatives are easy to find.
What the model projects
The projection is 112.2 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That places the Colts at DST20 and #162 overall, sitting in Tier 9. The draft value is -33.6, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. This is not a unit the model sees as a net positive over what a drafter could pick up off the waiver wire at the position.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 51 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 415 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 145.0 |
| 2024 | 36 | 16 | 18 | 9 | — | — | 427 | — | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 99.0 |
| 2025 | 39 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 1 | — | 412 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 99.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 42 | 15 | 15 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 418 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 114.4 |
The range of outcomes
The historical record shows meaningful variance in the scoring categories that move the needle most for DST fantasy value. Sacks have ranged from 36 to 51 across the three seasons on file. Touchdowns returned have ranged from 1 to 4. Points allowed per game is the other lever: in 2023, the Colts held opponents to 6 or fewer points once and allowed 35 or more three times; in 2025, they again allowed 35-plus in three games while posting one sub-7 game. The three-year average points allowed is 418, a figure that reflects a defense that gives up yards and points at a rate that limits its fantasy ceiling. A season closer to the 2023 sack and touchdown totals would push the unit toward relevance; a repeat of the 2024 sack floor with continued high points-allowed games keeps it firmly in streaming territory.
How to draft him
The Colts DST is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to carry a market ADP. That tells you everything about the current demand: this is a waiver-wire name, not a draft-day target. At DST20 and #162 overall with a negative draft value, the ranking does not support spending a pick here when the position can be addressed after the draft. If you do roster this unit, plan to stream around the Week 13 bye and monitor the sack and turnover pace early in the season; the three-year averages suggest the turnover production is real, but the points-allowed profile keeps the ceiling low.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
The projection is 112.2 points with a draft value of -33.6, placing them at DST20 and #162 overall in Tier 9. That negative draft value means the unit projects below replacement level at the position, and there is no market ADP to suggest other drafters are targeting them either. The ranking does not support spending a pick on this unit.
Over the 2023-2025 span, the Colts averaged 42 sacks, 15 interceptions, 8.3 fumble recoveries, and 15 forced fumbles per season. Touchdowns averaged 1.7 per year. Points allowed averaged 418 per season, with a mix of dominant and blowout games in each year.
Week 13. That is a late-season bye, which makes streaming alternatives straightforward to find when the time comes.
The sack totals have ranged from 36 in 2024 to 51 in 2023, with 39 in 2025 and a three-year average of 42. The production is real but inconsistent year to year, and the points-allowed profile (418 average over three seasons, with multiple 35-plus-point games each year) limits how often the unit posts big fantasy scoring weeks.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.