#26 overall · ARI · 173.9 projected half-PPR pts · +45.1 Draft Value · Market ADP 27.8
Jeremiyah Love — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jeremiyah Love lands at #26 overall and RB16 in a 12-team half-PPR format, carrying a draft value of +45.1 points above replacement. That positive surplus means the projection sees him delivering more than a freely available running back would, and at Tier 6 he sits in a cluster of backs the rankings treat as meaningfully productive starters. The projection of 173.9 fantasy points is a real workload number, not a depth-chart flier. For a drafter building a roster around reliable floor contributors, Love checks that box on paper.
What the model projects
The point estimate for Love is 173.9 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value of +45.1 places him above replacement level at the running back position, and his overall rank of #26 reflects where that surplus lands him across all positions combined. He is RB16 within his own position group. His bye week is 14, one of the later byes on the calendar, worth noting when constructing a Week 14 roster.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band for Love is wide, which is a defining characteristic of his profile. In a bottom-10% season, he finishes at 77.2 points. The 25th percentile sits at 128.7, and the median simulated season lands at 185.4. Strong seasons push into the 75th percentile at 233.7 points, and a top-10% outcome reaches 266.9. The gap between the p10 and p90 is nearly 190 points, so the upside is real but so is the floor risk. Drafters who land the 233-to-267 version of Love will feel good about the pick; those who land the sub-130 version will not. That variance is the central fact of his profile.
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our projection
How to draft him
The market is drafting Love at an average pick of 27.8, which works out to pick 3.04 in a 12-team snake draft. That means the third round is when you have to spend a pick to get him. The model has him at #26 overall, so the market and the projection are closely aligned on his draft slot. Plan accordingly: if Love is a target, the third round is where the decision gets made. His Week 14 bye is also worth factoring into roster construction before you click the button.
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Questions drafters ask
Love is RB16 in 12-team half-PPR, sitting at #26 overall with a draft value of +45.1 points above replacement.
In a top-10% simulated season, Love reaches 266.9 half-PPR fantasy points. His 75th-percentile outcome is 233.7, so strong-but-not-elite seasons cluster in that range.
The 10th-percentile simulated season comes in at 77.2 points, and the 25th percentile is 128.7. The band is wide, so downside risk is a real part of his profile.
The market ADP is 27.8, which translates to pick 3.04 in a 12-team draft. If he is on your target list, the third round is when you need to act.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.