Jason Sanders — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Sanders has shown genuine range. In 2024 he connected on 12 field goals from 50-plus yards on 41 attempts, finishing 37 of 41 overall. That long-distance volume is real production, not a fluke sample. Over the three-year aggregate from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 30.5 made field goals and 42 extra points per season on 34.5 attempts, with only 3 misses per year on average. The 2023 season added further texture: 24 makes on 28 attempts, including 5 from 50-plus and 6 from 40-49, with 58 of 59 extra points converted. The accuracy profile across both full seasons is clean, and the long-field volume in 2024 is the kind of number that drives kicker scoring in half-PPR formats.

What the model projects

The projection is 116.3 half-PPR fantasy points. Sanders sits at K14 by position rank and #226 overall, placed in Tier 9. His draft value is -58.0, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number is 116.3 points; the tier and rank reflect where that projection sits relative to the full field.

The range of outcomes

The outcome band is wide, which is typical for the position. The p10 floor is 0.0 points, meaning the worst 10 percent of simulated seasons produce nothing. The p25 is 8.8 points. The median simulated season lands at 67.1 points, well below the 116.3 point estimate, which signals that the distribution is skewed by high-end outcomes. The p75 is 148.5 points and the p90 reaches 211.3 points. That upper band is meaningful: a top-10 percent season from Sanders clears 211 points, driven by the kind of long-distance volume his 2024 line already demonstrated. The gap between the median and the point estimate is the story here. Most simulated seasons are modest; the upside tail is what lifts the projection.

How to draft him

Sanders does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, so there is no consistent draft slot to plan around. At K14 with a negative draft value, he is a late-round or post-draft consideration in most formats. His bye falls in Week 13, which is a common fantasy playoff week, so roster planning around that absence matters. If you are targeting kicker upside late, the 2024 long-distance volume and the p90 of 211.3 points make him a name worth keeping on your radar once the position comes off the shelf.

His draft value is -58.0, which places him below replacement level at kicker in a 12-team half-PPR format. At K14 and #226 overall, he is not a priority pick. That said, his 2024 season produced 37 makes on 41 attempts including 12 from 50-plus yards, and the p90 outcome band reaches 211.3 points, so the upside in a good season is real. He is a late-roster add, not an early investment.

Over the three-year aggregate from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 30.5 made field goals and 42 extra points per season on 34.5 attempts, with an average of 3 misses per year. In 2023 he made 24 of 28 attempts with 58 of 59 extra points. In 2024 he made 37 of 41 attempts. The accuracy numbers across both full seasons are solid.

The p90 is 211.3 points, meaning 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or above that total. The p75 is 148.5 points. The median simulated season is 67.1 points, well below the 116.3 point estimate, so the distribution is skewed toward the upside tail. High-end seasons are possible but not the most likely outcome.

Sanders has no consistent market ADP across public 2026 drafts, so there is no established draft slot. His bye is Week 13, a common fantasy playoff week, which is worth factoring into your roster construction whenever you do add him.