#201 overall · IND · 64.7 projected half-PPR pts · -50.5 Draft Value
Darius Slayton — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Darius Slayton has been a consistent target-getter for the Giants over the past three seasons, averaging 71 targets per year across 2023-2025. His 2023 campaign was his strongest of the three, with 770 receiving yards, 50 receptions on 79 targets, and 4 touchdowns. Even in leaner years he has remained on the field and involved, posting 71 targets in 2024 and 63 in 2025. For a drafter building out the back end of a roster, that kind of target floor is the starting point for any conversation.
What the model projects
The projection is 60.6 half-PPR fantasy points. That sits at #258 overall and WR87, placing Slayton in Tier 9. His draft value is -67.6, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 79 | 50 | 770 | 4 | — | — | — | 126.0 |
| 2024 | 71 | 39 | 573 | 2 | 2 | 17 | — | 90.5 |
| 2025 | 63 | 37 | 538 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 76.3 |
| 3-yr avg | 71 | 42 | 627 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 98.1 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. The bottom 10% of outcomes lands at 4.2 points, and the 25th percentile is 19.0 points, signaling real downside risk. The median simulated season comes in at 42.0 points. The upside exists but requires things to break right: the 75th percentile is 75.9 points and the 90th percentile reaches 120.9 points. That gap between the median and the top decile is substantial, which reflects how variable his role and production have been year to year. His three-season averages tell the same story: 627 receiving yards, 42 receptions, 2.3 touchdowns, and 71 targets per year, with a fumble rate of 0.3 per season.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Slayton is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no draft-slot anchor to work from. At WR87 and #258 overall in Tier 9, he projects as a below-replacement-level option. He is a late-roster flier at best, the kind of name to keep in mind only after your starting lineup and primary depth are fully addressed. The wide outcome band means the upside is real but the floor is very low, so roster construction context matters before committing a pick.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection of 60.6 points and a draft value of -67.6 place him below replacement level at WR in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks WR87 and #258 overall in Tier 9. He is a speculative add rather than a reliable roster piece.
Over the past three seasons Slayton has averaged 71 targets per year. He saw 79 targets in 2023, 71 in 2024, and 63 in 2025, showing a gradual decline in volume across that stretch.
The 90th-percentile simulated outcome is 120.9 half-PPR points. That represents the top 10% of projected season outcomes. The median simulated season is 42.0 points, so reaching that upside requires a significant positive variance from the typical projection.
Very. The band runs from 4.2 points at the 10th percentile to 120.9 at the 90th percentile, a spread of more than 116 points. His three-year averages of 627 receiving yards, 42 receptions, and 2.3 touchdowns per season reflect that same year-to-year inconsistency.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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