Jake Moody — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Jake Moody is now with Baltimore, a franchise that consistently puts points on the board and generates kicker-friendly scoring opportunities. His three-year track record shows a kicker who has handled volume: 27.3 field goal attempts and 36.7 extra point attempts per season on average from 2023 through 2025. His accuracy has been uneven across those years, but the 2025 season showed a tighter miss rate, just 2 misses on 23 attempts. He has also demonstrated range, connecting on 50-plus-yard attempts in each of the last three seasons. For a drafter who waits on kicker and wants a player with a plausible path to a high-volume situation, Moody checks the basic boxes.

What the model projects

The projection is 90.3 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That sits at K30 and #311 overall, placing Moody in Tier 9. His draft value is -86.8, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The point estimate of 90.3 is consistent with his three-year average production profile, and the median simulated season of 90.2 points lands almost exactly on that projection.

The range of outcomes

The outcome band is wide, which is typical for the position. At the low end, the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons produces just 6.4 points, a near-total collapse in opportunity or efficiency. The 25th percentile sits at 36.9 points, still a very limited season. The median is 90.2 points. From there the upside opens up: the 75th percentile reaches 123.0 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons lands at 145.2 points. That upper band represents a genuinely useful fantasy kicker. The gap between the floor and the ceiling here is as large as it gets at the position, and any drafter rostering Moody is accepting that full range.

How to draft him

Moody does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms that feed this data. In practice, that makes him a late-round or post-draft addition rather than a pick you need to plan around. His bye is Week 13, worth noting for playoff-week roster management. At K30 and #311 overall, he is a depth option at a position where the standard approach is to wait as long as possible. If Baltimore's offense produces the volume his situation suggests is possible, the upside band is real. But the projection and rank reflect where he stands today.

He sits at K30 and #311 overall with a draft value of -86.8, which is below replacement level in a 12-team half-PPR format. He has no market ADP across public drafts, meaning the market is not consistently spending a pick on him at all. His projection of 90.3 points and a top-10-percent ceiling of 145.2 points give him real upside, but his rank reflects a below-replacement baseline.

Over the last three seasons he averaged 5.3 misses per year on 27.3 attempts. In 2025 specifically he missed just 2 of 23 attempts. In 2024 he missed 10 of 34 attempts. In 2023 he missed 4 of 25 attempts. The three-year picture is uneven, though 2025 was his cleanest season by miss rate.

Yes. He has connected on 50-plus-yard field goals in each of the past three seasons: 2 in 2023, 4 in 2024, and 2 in 2025. His 40-to-49-yard makes were 4, 6, and 5 in those same years. The range is there; the question is opportunity and volume in his new situation.

Moody's bye is Week 13. For drafters in leagues where Week 13 falls during the fantasy playoffs, rostering a second kicker or planning a waiver pickup around that week is worth factoring into your roster construction.