#225 overall · PHI · 110.3 projected half-PPR pts · -55.6 Draft Value
Jake Elliott — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jake Elliott has been Philadelphia's kicker through three full seasons of data, and the volume numbers are real. He averaged 26 made field goals and 44.3 extra points per season across 2023-2025, working behind an offense that consistently puts him in position to score. His 2023 season stands as the clearest illustration of his ceiling: 30 made field goals on 32 attempts, just 2 misses, with 7 makes from 40-49 yards and 7 more from 50-plus. That is a high-accuracy, high-volume season from a kicker with a proven long-range leg. The Philadelphia offense is a reliable engine for kicker opportunity, and Elliott is the man attached to it.
What the model projects
The projection is 110.3 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season lands at 110.5 points, essentially in line with that figure. Elliott comes in at K17 and #210 overall, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -55.6, which places him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The projection reflects a three-year average of 31.7 field goal attempts and 45.3 extra point attempts per season, with 5.3 misses per year in that same window.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 30 | 2 | 45 | 154.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | 7 | 47 | 134.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | 7 | 41 | 109.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 26 | 5.3 | 44.3 | 39.0 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, which is typical for the position. At the bottom 10% of simulated seasons, Elliott finishes at 31.5 points. The 25th percentile sits at 77.8 points. The median is 110.5, the 75th percentile is 133.7, and the top 10% of simulated seasons reaches 148.1 points. That spread from 31.5 to 148.1 captures the real volatility in kicker scoring: a season like 2023, with 30 makes and only 2 misses, lives near the top of that band. A season like 2025, with 20 makes on 27 attempts and 7 misses, lives near the bottom. Both outcomes are on the table.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Elliott is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or end-of-draft add in most 2026 snake drafts. At K17 and #210 overall with a negative draft value, he is a depth option at the position rather than a priority target. His bye falls in Week 10, worth noting when building your kicker roster. If you want the upside of a high-volume Philadelphia offense behind your kicker, Elliott is the name attached to that opportunity, but the rankings place him well outside the tiers where you need to spend meaningful draft capital to secure him.
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Questions drafters ask
It has been inconsistent. In 2023 he made 30 of 32 attempts with just 2 misses. In 2024 he made 28 of 36 with 7 misses. In 2025 he made 20 of 27 with 7 misses again. The three-year average works out to 26 makes and 5.3 misses per season on 31.7 attempts.
He has shown a capable leg from distance. In 2023 he made 7 field goals from 50-plus yards. That dropped to 1 in 2024 and came back to 4 in 2025. His 40-49 yard range has been steadier: 7 makes in 2023, 8 in 2024, and 7 in 2025.
The projection is 110.3 points. The band runs from 31.5 points at the 10th percentile to 148.1 at the 90th percentile, with a median simulated season of 110.5. That is a substantial spread, reflecting the high variance inherent to the kicker position.
He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is effectively available at the end of most drafts without requiring you to commit a meaningful pick in advance.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.