#226 overall · ATL · 110.2 projected half-PPR pts · -55.6 Draft Value
Nick Folk — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Nick Folk has been one of the more reliable kickers in recent memory by the numbers that matter most: accuracy. Over the three seasons from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 27 field goal attempts per season and missed just one kick per year on average. In 2023 he went 29-of-30 on field goals, missing once, while converting 28 of 30 extra point attempts. In 2025 he connected on 28 of 29 field goal attempts, again with a single miss, and added 7 field goals from 50-plus yards. That long-range volume is notable: he has hit at least 5 field goals from 50-plus yards in each of the last three seasons. For a drafter who wants a kicker with a demonstrated track record of high accuracy and consistent deep-range production, Folk's history makes a real case.
What the model projects
The projection for Folk is 110.2 half-PPR fantasy points this season. His draft value sits at -64.0, placing him K20 and #250 overall in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect where kickers as a position group land in value-over-replacement terms: even a productive kicker operates well below replacement level in a 12-team half-PPR format at this rank. The projection of 110.2 points is the headline number to carry into your draft prep. Atlanta's bye falls in Week 11.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | 1 | 28 | 130.0 |
| 2024 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 107.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | 1 | 22 | 126.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 26 | 1 | 25 | 24.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band for Folk is wide, which is typical for the position. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons lands at 14.7 points, and the 25th percentile sits at 74.1. The median simulated season comes in at 125.6 points, above the 110.2 point estimate, with the 75th percentile at 142.6 and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reaching 169.4. The gap between a bad season and a good one is substantial: the difference between the p10 and p90 outcomes is more than 150 points. That variance is the defining feature of the kicker position, and Folk is no exception to it.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Folk is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no public draft-slot data to reference here. At K20 and #250 overall, he sits at the back end of the kicker rankings in Tier 9. In a standard 12-team snake draft, kickers are typically the last position filled, and Folk's rank suggests he would be among the final names taken at the position if he is taken at all. Draft him only if you are filling a kicker slot in the final rounds and want the comfort of his three-year accuracy record behind the pick.
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Questions drafters ask
Very accurate by the numbers. Over 2023 through 2025 he averaged 27 field goal attempts per season and missed just one kick per year on average. In each individual season he finished with exactly one miss: 29-of-30 in 2023, 21-of-22 in 2024, and 28-of-29 in 2025.
Folk has hit at least 5 field goals from 50-plus yards in each of the last three seasons: 5 in 2023, 6 in 2024, and 7 in 2025, for a combined 18 over that span.
The projection is 110.2 half-PPR fantasy points. The simulated season band runs from 14.7 points at the 10th percentile to 169.4 at the 90th percentile, with a median of 125.6. That is a spread of more than 150 points between a poor season and a strong one.
He is K20 and #250 overall in Tier 9. He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. In practice, he is a late-round fill-in option if you need a kicker and want a kicker with a strong recent accuracy record.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.