#162 overall · TB · 133.2 projected half-PPR pts · -32.7 Draft Value
Chase McLaughlin — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Chase McLaughlin has been one of the more consistent volume kickers in the league over the past three seasons. His three-year averages tell the story plainly: 30.3 field goals made, 33.7 attempts, and 39.7 extra points per season. That is a steady workload, and the trajectory has been upward. In 2025 he attempted 38 field goals, made 32, and connected on 11 from 50-plus yards. That long-range production is the kind of number that separates a kicker from a pure volume play. Tampa Bay's offense has consistently put him in position to attempt kicks, and the 2024 season showed what a high-volume situation looks like: 56 extra point attempts alongside 32 field goal attempts. The floor here is real.
What the model projects
The projection is 139.3 half-PPR fantasy points. McLaughlin ranks #166 overall and K6 at his position, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -34.9, which means the projection places him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That is the honest read on the number. The projection reflects a kicker who has produced at a high clip but whose position-level replacement value is a high bar to clear.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | — | 33 | 136.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | 2 | 54 | 162.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | 3 | 32 | 153.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 30.3 | 1.7 | 39.7 | 38.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band runs from 102.4 points at the 10th percentile to 167.7 at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season lands at 148.3 points, above the 139.3 point estimate. The 25th percentile is 125.6 and the 75th is 160.5. That upper half of the band is fairly compressed: the gap from the median to the 90th percentile is only 19.4 points, while the gap from the median down to the 10th percentile is 45.9 points. The downside tail is meaningfully wider than the upside. A bad season looks like 102.4 points; a great one looks like 167.7. His bye falls in Week 10, which is worth noting for roster management in the back half of the season.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
McLaughlin's market ADP is 183.9, which works out to pick 16.04 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That puts him in the 16th round. Most managers are not rostering a kicker until the final rounds, and that is exactly where the market is pricing him. He ranks #166 overall and K6 at his position. If you want him specifically, the 16th round is when you would need to spend a pick to secure him.
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Questions drafters ask
His 50-plus yard field goals have climbed each year: 7 in 2023, 8 in 2024, and 11 in 2025. Over that same stretch his field goal attempts have also risen, from 31 in 2023 to 38 in 2025.
The projection is 139.3 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks K6 at his position and #166 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value of -34.9 puts him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
The simulated season band runs from 102.4 points at the 10th percentile to 167.7 at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 148.3 points. The downside range is wider than the upside, so a bad season carries more point risk than a great season adds.
His market ADP is 183.9, which translates to pick 16.04 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. If you want him, the 16th round is when you would need to act.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
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