#55 overall · CLE · 131.4 projected half-PPR pts · +11.1 Draft Value · Market ADP 79.4
Harold Fannin — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Harold Fannin's 2025 season is the entire three-year aggregate, and that is not a knock. It means every number you see is real production, not a blended average diluted by lesser years. He ran 107 targets, caught 72 of them, and turned those into 731 receiving yards and 6 receiving touchdowns. Add a rushing touchdown on 7 carries and you have a tight end who contributed across multiple scoring categories in his first meaningful NFL season. That target volume is the headline. Tight ends who see 100-plus looks in a season are not common, and Fannin earned every one of them in Cleveland's offense. The receptions and yardage that followed confirm he converted that opportunity efficiently.
What the model projects
The projection for Fannin is 131.4 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at +11.1, meaning he projects above replacement level at the tight end position. That surplus places him at TE3 and #55 overall in Tier 8. The point estimate of 131.4 and the median simulated season of 141.9 are close but not identical; both are worth knowing. The projection is the headline number, and the median outcome from the simulation runs slightly higher.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 107 | 72 | 731 | 6 | 1 | 150.4 |
| 3-yr avg | 107 | 72 | 731 | 6 | 1 | 152.4 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is consistent with a young tight end whose NFL sample is one season deep. At the pessimistic end, the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 76.2 points. The 25th percentile is 106.5. The median sits at 141.9. The 75th percentile reaches 164.3, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 191.8 points. That 191.8 ceiling is a genuinely useful fantasy season. The floor at 76.2 is a season where Fannin contributes below replacement value. The distance between those two poles is large, so roster construction context matters when deciding how much of your draft capital to commit.
(bottom 10%)
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our projection
How to draft him
Fannin's market ADP is 79.4, which works out to pick 7.07 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. His overall rank is #55 overall. Plan accordingly: if you want him, the market is taking him in the seventh round. His bye is Week 11, so build your roster with that gap in mind. At TE3 with a positive draft value, he is a legitimate starter-tier option at the position, and the 2025 target volume gives a concrete foundation for that projection.
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Questions drafters ask
He posted 107 targets, 72 receptions, 731 receiving yards, 6 receiving touchdowns, and added 1 rushing touchdown on 7 carries. That is the full three-year aggregate as well, since 2025 was his first season of meaningful production.
The simulated season band runs from 76.2 points at the 10th percentile to 191.8 at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 141.9 points. The floor is a below-replacement output; the ceiling is a strong fantasy starter season.
His market ADP is 79.4, which translates to pick 7.07 in a 12-team draft. That median is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a reasonable planning target rather than a guarantee.
He ranks TE3 with a draft value of +11.1, projecting above replacement level at the position. The 107 targets he saw in 2025 support a starter-tier role, though the wide outcome band reflects the uncertainty that comes with a one-season NFL track record.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
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