#156 overall · GB · 114.4 projected half-PPR pts · -31.4 Draft Value
Green Bay Packers — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Green Bay Packers DST has posted back-to-back seasons of exactly 45 sacks, and the 2024 campaign added a sharp jump in turnover production: 17 interceptions and 16 forced fumbles, with 14 recovered. That 2024 turnover haul was a genuine outlier in the unit's recent history, and it shows the ceiling is real. Over the three seasons from 2023 through 2025, the unit averaged 42 sacks, 10.3 interceptions, 11.3 forced fumbles, and 10.7 fumble recoveries per year. Those are consistent pressure numbers, and consistent pressure is the foundation of fantasy DST value. The bye falls in Week 11, late enough that it rarely forces a roster decision in the early weeks of the season.
What the model projects
The projection is 114.4 half-PPR fantasy points. That places the Packers DST at DST18 and #151 overall, landing in Tier 9. The draft value is -31.4, meaning the projection sits below the replacement-level baseline for the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. This is a below-replacement-level unit by the model's current numbers.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 0 | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 45 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 350 | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | 117.0 |
| 2024 | 45 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 1 | — | 338 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | — | 156.0 |
| 2025 | 36 | 7 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 360 | — | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 87.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 42 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 10.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 349.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.1 |
The range of outcomes
The historical record gives a clear picture of the variance. Points allowed have ranged from 338 (2024) to 360 (2025) over the past three seasons, with the three-year average sitting at 349.3. The unit has posted at least one shutout or near-shutout window in two of the three seasons: a game allowing 0 points in 2024, and a game allowing 1-6 points in both 2023 and 2025. On the other end, the 2025 season included two games allowing 35 or more points, and both 2023 and 2024 had three games in the 28-34 range. Sacks dipped to 36 in 2025 after two straight seasons at 45, and interceptions fell back to 7 after the 17-pick 2024 season. The floor is a unit that can get torched in multiple games; the ceiling is the 2024 version, which combined elite sack volume with a turnover spike.
How to draft him
The Packers DST is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no reliable signal for when other drafters are targeting this unit, and no pick-number pressure to plan around. Given the DST18 position rank and a draft value below replacement level, this is a late-round or waiver-wire consideration in most 12-team formats. Prioritize the position only after your skill-position roster is set, and treat the 2024 turnover numbers as upside rather than a baseline expectation. The Week 11 bye is manageable, but have a streaming option identified before the season starts.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects 114.4 points and a draft value of -31.4, placing the unit at DST18 and #151 overall in Tier 9. That is a below-replacement-level projection in a 12-team half-PPR format, which makes a dedicated pick hard to justify over streaming options.
Over 2023-2025, the unit averaged 42 sacks, 10.3 interceptions, and 11.3 forced fumbles per season. The 2024 season was the high-water mark with 45 sacks, 17 interceptions, and 16 forced fumbles. The 2025 season pulled back to 36 sacks and 7 interceptions, closer to the 2023 baseline.
In 2025, the unit allowed 35 or more points in two games and allowed 360 points on the season, the highest of the three-year window. Both 2023 and 2024 included three games in the 28-34 points-allowed range. The floor is real and worth accounting for in weekly lineup decisions.
The Packers DST has a Week 11 bye. That is late in the season, which limits the number of weeks you need a streaming replacement. It is not a reason to draft the unit earlier, but it is a minor scheduling positive compared to an early bye.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
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