#231 overall · KC · 53.8 projected half-PPR pts · -56.4 Draft Value
Emmett Johnson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Emmett Johnson is a Kansas City running back with a bye in Week 5. At RB55 and #272 overall, he sits in Tier 9, deep in the tail of the rankings. The case for rostering him is almost entirely speculative: he is on a team that has consistently deployed its backfield in ways that create opportunity, and late-round or waiver-wire depth at running back has real value in a long season. If circumstances shift in Kansas City's backfield, Johnson is positioned to absorb touches. That is the entire argument, and it is a thin one at this point in the rankings.
What the model projects
The projection is 53.8 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. His draft value is -75.7, meaning he projects below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. These numbers reflect a player who, as currently projected, is not expected to contribute meaningful fantasy production on a week-to-week basis.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, which is the defining characteristic of a player at this tier. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons land at 2.3 points or below. The median simulated season comes in at 39.4 points. The top 10% of simulated seasons reach 119.0 points or above. That spread from 2.3 to 119.0 tells the story clearly: most of the time, Johnson contributes very little, but a small slice of simulated seasons produces a genuinely useful fantasy contributor. The p25 sits at 15.1 and the p75 at 80.3, so the interquartile range alone spans more than 65 points. High variance, low floor, limited ceiling in most scenarios.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Johnson does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms tracked. In a standard 12-team snake draft, he is a late-round or post-draft addition, not a pick you plan around. If you want him on your roster, the waiver wire is the more realistic path than a draft pick. If you do spend a pick, it should be in the final rounds where the cost is essentially zero and the upside of a backfield role change is worth the flier.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
His projection is 53.8 fantasy points with a draft value of -75.7, placing him below replacement level at RB55 and #272 overall in Tier 9. He is not a player you build a roster around, but in the final rounds of a draft, the cost is low enough that the upside of a potential role change makes him a reasonable speculative add.
The simulated season band runs from 2.3 points at the 10th percentile to 119.0 points at the 90th percentile, with a median of 39.4. The wide spread reflects high variance: most outcomes cluster toward the low end, but a meaningful role change could push him into the upper range.
He does not have a market ADP across the platforms tracked, meaning he is not being consistently drafted in public 2026 leagues. He is more realistically a waiver-wire target than a planned draft pick.
Emmett Johnson's bye week is Week 5.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.