#229 overall · LAC · 53.9 projected half-PPR pts · -56.3 Draft Value
Kimani Vidal — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Kimani Vidal's 2025 season showed real growth. He carried the ball 155 times for 643 rushing yards, added 16 receptions on 22 targets for 136 receiving yards, and scored four total touchdowns. That is a meaningful step up from his 2024 line of 43 carries, 155 rushing yards, and 5 receptions. The three-year averages confirm the trajectory: 99 rush attempts, 399 rushing yards, and 10.5 receptions per season across 2023-2025, with the most recent year pulling those numbers upward. For a drafter hunting late-roster depth at running back, Vidal has demonstrated he can handle a real workload when given the opportunity.
What the model projects
The projection is 54.4 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That produces a draft value of -73.5, placing Vidal #255 overall and RB53. He sits in Tier 9. The projection reflects a player operating at the back end of the position rankings, below replacement level for a standard 12-team half-PPR league. His bye week is Week 7.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43 | 155 | — | 9 | 5 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 30.2 |
| 2025 | 155 | 643 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 136 | 1 | 1 | 109.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 99 | 399 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 99 | 1 | 1 | 70.1 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is the defining feature of Vidal's outlook. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 2.6 points; the 25th percentile reaches only 15.6. The median simulated season comes in at 40.2 points. The upside tail, however, is real: the 75th percentile is 81.2 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reach 120.1 points. That gap between the median and the 90th percentile is substantial. The floor is near zero and the ceiling is a functional fantasy contributor. This is a high-variance profile, not a steady-floor one.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Vidal does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms tracked. In a 12-team half-PPR league he is RB53 and #255 overall. He is a late-round or post-draft addition, the kind of name to keep on a watch list rather than spend a meaningful pick on. If the upside band at the 75th and 90th percentiles is what you are chasing, the cost to acquire him is low, but the median outcome at 40.2 points reflects the realistic base case. Draft him only if your roster construction leaves room for a high-variance dart throw at running back depth.
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Questions drafters ask
He is RB53 and #255 overall with a draft value of -73.5, which puts him below replacement level for a standard 12-team half-PPR format. The projection is 54.4 points. He is a depth/watch-list candidate, not a player who projects to contribute in a typical starting lineup.
In 2025 Vidal logged 155 rush attempts for 643 yards and added 16 receptions on 22 targets for 136 yards, with four total touchdowns. That is the largest workload of his recorded history and a clear increase over his 2024 line of 43 carries and 5 receptions.
The simulated season band runs from 2.6 points at the 10th percentile to 120.1 points at the 90th percentile. The median is 40.2 points. The 75th percentile is 81.2 points. The floor is near zero; the ceiling is a meaningful fantasy contributor. This is a high-variance profile.
He has no market ADP across the platforms tracked, so he is not being consistently drafted in public 2026 leagues. He is available as a late-round or waiver-wire addition. His rank is #255 overall and RB53 in 12-team half-PPR.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.