#160 overall · CLE · 83.1 projected half-PPR pts · -32.2 Draft Value
Denzel Boston — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Denzel Boston is a late-round flier on a Cleveland receiving corps that could create opportunity in the back half of the season. At WR61, the bar for relevance is low, and the upside band tells a more interesting story than the headline projection does. His p90 outcome of 170.3 half-PPR points represents a meaningful ceiling for a player available this deep in drafts. In formats where roster spots are cheap and the waiver wire is thin, a dart throw at Boston costs almost nothing and carries real upside if things break right. His bye falls in Week 11, which is a manageable timing consideration for a late-round add.
What the model projects
The projection is 98.8 half-PPR points for the season. His draft value is -29.9, placing him #153 overall and WR61 in Tier 9. That negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. The median simulated season lands at 86.3 points, which is modestly below the 98.8 point estimate, indicating the distribution carries some weight in the upper tail.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, which is the defining characteristic of Boston's profile. At the bottom, 10% of simulated seasons finish at or below 27.0 points, a near-invisible fantasy season. The 25th percentile is 52.0 points, still a bench-warmer result. The median sits at 86.3 points. From there the upside opens up: the 75th percentile is 122.1 points, and the 90th percentile reaches 170.3 points. The gap between the p10 and p90 outcomes is 143.3 points, a spread that reflects genuine uncertainty about his role and volume. Most seasons end quietly; a fraction end with real fantasy relevance.
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(median)
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our projection
How to draft him
The market is drafting Boston at pick 154.6 on average, based on two platforms, which works out to pick 13.11 in a 12-team snake draft. At that price, he is a depth stash or a handcuff for a thin receiver room. Do not reach for him earlier expecting the upside to materialize on command. Take him in the final rounds if you need a speculative receiver, and let the outcome band do its work. His Week 11 bye is worth noting when you set your roster construction plan for the stretch run.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 98.8 half-PPR points. His median simulated season is 86.3 points, slightly below the point estimate, with the distribution carrying more weight toward the upper tail.
He is WR61 by draft value, #153 overall, and sits in Tier 9. His draft value of -29.9 places him below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
In the top 10% of simulated seasons, Boston finishes at or above 170.3 half-PPR points. His 75th-percentile outcome is 122.1 points. The floor is steep: the bottom 10% of seasons land at or below 27.0 points.
The market average draft position is 154.6, which translates to pick 13.11 in a 12-team snake draft. That is a late-round, low-cost roster spot with speculative upside.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.