#159 overall · LAR · 78.3 projected half-PPR pts · -31.9 Draft Value · Market ADP 112.7
Blake Corum — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Blake Corum's 2025 season was a meaningful step forward. He carried the ball 145 times for 746 rushing yards and scored 6 rushing touchdowns, a workload that dwarfs his 2024 line of 58 attempts and 207 yards. The receiving side remained modest — 8 receptions on 14 targets for 36 yards — but the target volume at least doubled from 2024's 8. The three-year averages (101.5 rush attempts, 476.5 rush yards, 7.5 receptions per season) reflect a player who spent his early career in a limited role before earning a larger share in 2025. If that expanded role carries into 2026, the counting-stat foundation is real. He has a Week 11 bye.
What the model projects
The projection is 79.0 half-PPR fantasy points. That sits below the median simulated season of 75.0 points, which is close enough to treat as roughly aligned. The draft value is -48.9, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Corum is RB44 and #197 overall, placed in Tier 9.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58 | 207 | — | 8 | 7 | 58 | 30.0 |
| 2025 | 145 | 746 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 36 | 118.2 |
| 3-yr avg | 101.5 | 476.5 | 3 | 11 | 7.5 | 47 | 74.1 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. The 10th-percentile simulated season produces just 12.0 points — a near-total absence from fantasy relevance. The 25th percentile reaches 35.3 points, still a difficult season to roster through. The median lands at 75.0 points. From there the upside opens up: the 75th percentile is 117.5 points and the 90th percentile reaches 165.0 points. That top-decile outcome would represent a genuinely useful fantasy contributor. The distance between the floor and the ceiling here is among the widest imaginable for a single player, which means the outcome depends heavily on how his role develops.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
The market is drafting Corum at an average pick of 101.8, which works out to Round 9, Pick 6 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. The model has him at #197 overall and RB44. In practical terms, you would need to spend a mid-to-late Round 9 pick to secure him. At that stage of a draft, the question is whether his 2025 workload is a reliable baseline or a ceiling. The outcome band answers that honestly: the floor is very low and the ceiling is real but not guaranteed. He fits best as a late-round handcuff or speculative add for managers who believe his 2025 role is the new normal.
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Questions drafters ask
He ran 145 times for 746 yards and scored 6 rushing touchdowns, adding 8 receptions on 14 targets for 36 receiving yards. That was a significant jump from his 2024 line of 58 rush attempts, 207 rush yards, 7 receptions, and 58 receiving yards.
The projection is 79.0 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season is 75.0 points. His draft value is -48.9, which places him below replacement level at running back, ranking him RB44 and #197 overall in Tier 9.
The band runs from 12.0 points at the 10th percentile to 165.0 points at the 90th percentile. The 25th percentile is 35.3 points, the median is 75.0, and the 75th percentile is 117.5. The floor is very low; the top-decile outcome is a legitimately useful fantasy season.
The market is taking him at an average of pick 101.8, or Round 9, Pick 6 in a 12-team draft, based on a two-platform median. That is the pick you would need to spend to secure him before he comes off the board.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.