#32 overall · NYG · 164.3 projected half-PPR pts · +37.0 Draft Value · Market ADP 37.8
Cam Skattebo — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The 2025 season is the only NFL production on Skattebo's ledger, and it already tells a clear story. In his rookie year with the Giants, he logged 101 rush attempts for 410 yards and five rushing touchdowns, while adding 24 receptions on 32 targets for 207 receiving yards and two more scores. That receiving volume is meaningful: 32 targets in a season where he was still establishing himself as a starter signals genuine involvement in the passing game, not just a token role. The combined stat line across the three-year aggregate window is identical to the 2025 season, confirming this is a one-year NFL sample with no prior pro production diluting it. For a player sitting at RB19 with a positive draft value of +37.0, the floor of involvement is already established.
What the model projects
The projection is 164.3 half-PPR fantasy points. That number places Skattebo at #32 overall and RB19, inside Tier 7. His draft value of +37.0 sits above replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format, meaning the projection expects him to return more than a freely available back would.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 101 | 410 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 207 | 2 | 1 | 113.7 |
| 3-yr avg | 101 | 410 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 207 | 2 | 1 | 115.7 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is consistent with a player whose NFL sample is limited. The p10 outcome, the floor that only 10 percent of simulated seasons fall below, is 69.4 points. The median simulated season lands at 174.9 points, a touch above the 164.3 point estimate. The p90 ceiling, reached in only the top 10 percent of simulated seasons, is 257.0 points. The interquartile range runs from 119.2 (p25) to 222.9 (p75), a spread of more than 100 points. That variance reflects the uncertainty baked into a one-year NFL sample. The upside is real; so is the downside.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP for Skattebo is 37.8, drawn from two platforms, which works out to pick 4.02 in a 12-team snake draft. That is the fourth round, second pick. His rank is #32 overall and RB19. Drafters who want him should plan to spend a fourth-round pick. His bye is Week 8, worth noting when constructing a roster around him.
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Questions drafters ask
In 2025 he drew 32 targets and caught 24 of them for 207 yards and two receiving touchdowns. That target share suggests consistent involvement in the passing game, not a situational role.
The p90 outcome across simulated seasons is 257.0 half-PPR points, reached in only the top 10 percent of projections. The p75 outcome, a good-but-not-elite season, is 222.9 points.
Market ADP is 37.8, which translates to pick 4.02 in a 12-team draft. Plan to use a fourth-round selection if you want him on your roster.
His three-year aggregate stats are identical to his 2025 season stats, meaning 2025 is his entire NFL sample: 101 rush attempts, 410 rush yards, five rushing touchdowns, 24 receptions, 207 receiving yards, and two receiving touchdowns.
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Beyond the rankings
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