#216 overall · CHI · 112.3 projected half-PPR pts · -53.6 Draft Value
Cairo Santos — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Cairo Santos has been a fixture in Chicago's kicking game for years, and the three-season track record reflects a durable, high-volume role. Over the 2023-2025 window he averaged 27 made field goals and 31.7 extra points per season on 31 attempts per year. The 2023 season stands out: 35 made field goals on 38 attempts, including 8 from 40-49 yards and 7 from 50-plus, with only 3 misses. His 2025 campaign added 39 extra points, the highest of the three years, signaling a Chicago offense that kept the kicker busy in scoring situations. The long-range work is consistent across all three seasons, with at least 4 makes from 50-plus yards every year.
What the model projects
The projection is 112.3 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. The median simulated outcome, at 121.1 points, sits modestly above that point estimate, reflecting a distribution that leans slightly positive. Santos carries a draft value of -53.6, placing him #204 overall and K15 at his position. He is a Tier 9 player. His bye week is Week 10.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 35 | 3 | 31 | 155.0 |
| 2024 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 108.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | 4 | 39 | 128.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 27 | 2.7 | 31.7 | 29.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated outcome band is wide, which is typical for the kicker position. At the pessimistic end, the bottom 10% of simulated seasons land at 24.1 points. The 25th percentile is 79.3 points. The median sits at 121.1, the 75th percentile at 140.2, and the top 10% of simulated seasons reach 161.0 points. The gap between the floor and ceiling is substantial: a bad season for Santos looks very different from a good one. Drafters should weigh that variance against the volume his three-year history suggests.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Santos is currently being drafted at an average pick of 417.7 across two platforms, which works out to pick 35.10 in a 12-team draft. That is well beyond the standard snake-draft range, meaning he is almost exclusively a late-or-undrafted target. His position rank is K15 and his overall rank is #204 overall, so drafters who want him should understand they are reaching into the kicker tier well after the position's top options are gone. If your league runs enough rounds to get there, he is available very late; if not, he is a waiver-wire name to monitor.
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Questions drafters ask
He has made at least 4 field goals from 50-plus yards in each of the last three seasons: 7 in 2023, 8 in 2024, and 4 in 2025. From 40-49 yards he made 8, 5, and 10 in those same years.
The projection is 112.3 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season is 121.1 points, and the full band runs from 24.1 points at the 10th percentile to 161.0 at the 90th percentile.
He is K15 at his position and #204 overall, sitting in Tier 9 with a draft value of -53.6.
His market ADP is 417.7, which translates to pick 35.10 in a 12-team draft. That is beyond the standard snake-draft range, so he is effectively a late-round or undrafted option in most league formats.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.