#217 overall · MIN · 56.4 projected half-PPR pts · -53.8 Draft Value
Jerome Ford — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The case is thin, and the facts say so plainly. Jerome Ford put together a legitimate workhorse season in 2023, carrying the ball 204 times for 813 rushing yards while adding 44 receptions for 319 receiving yards and nine total touchdowns. That season established him as a capable three-down back who could contribute in both the run game and as a pass-catcher. The three-year averages across 2023-2025 show 110.7 rush attempts, 483.7 rushing yards, 35.7 receptions, and 215.7 receiving yards per season, which reflects a player whose role has contracted sharply from that 2023 peak. If something changes in Cleveland's backfield situation, Ford has demonstrated the skill set to handle a full workload.
What the model projects
The projection is 0.0 fantasy points. Every percentile in the outcome band, from p10 through p90, also sits at 0.0. The draft value is -128.4, placing Ford at RB227 and #765 overall in Tier 9. There is no projected fantasy contribution at any level of the simulation.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 204 | 813 | 4 | 63 | 44 | 319 | 5 | 1 | 187.2 |
| 2024 | 104 | 565 | 3 | 43 | 37 | 225 | — | — | 115.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | 73 | — | 32 | 26 | 103 | — | — | 30.6 |
| 3-yr avg | 110.7 | 483.7 | 2.3 | 46 | 35.7 | 215.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 111.8 |
The range of outcomes
The band offers no variance to discuss. The p10, p25, p50, p75, and p90 outcomes are all 0.0 fantasy points. The entire distribution is collapsed to zero. Ford's 2025 line of 24 rush attempts, 73 rushing yards, 26 receptions, and 103 receiving yards on 32 targets shows a sharply reduced role compared to his 2023 and 2024 seasons, and the projection carries that forward without deviation.
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our projection
How to draft him
Ford has no market ADP, which means he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. He is not a player to target in a 2026 snake draft at any stage. His rank of #765 overall and position rank of RB227 in Tier 9 reflect a player outside the relevant fantasy universe under current circumstances. He belongs on a watch list, not a roster, unless something changes in Cleveland's depth chart that the current facts do not reflect.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects 0.0 fantasy points with a draft value of -128.4, ranking him RB227 and #765 overall in Tier 9. He has no market ADP. The facts do not support drafting him in any standard format.
In 2023, Ford logged 204 rush attempts for 813 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns, paired with 44 receptions on 63 targets for 319 receiving yards and 5 receiving touchdowns. That is the high-water mark in his three-year history.
It has declined significantly. From 204 rush attempts in 2023, he dropped to 104 in 2024 and just 24 in 2025. Receiving targets followed a similar path: 63 in 2023, 43 in 2024, and 32 in 2025. The three-year averages of 110.7 rush attempts and 46 targets per season are pulled down heavily by that 2025 line.
He carries no ADP, meaning the market is not pricing him into drafts at all. With a projection of 0.0 points across every percentile of the outcome band, the facts as they stand do not support a case for late-round speculation.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
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