#831 overall · SF · 0.0 projected half-PPR pts · -115.2 Draft Value
Brandon Aiyuk — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The 2023 season is the anchor. Brandon Aiyuk posted 1,342 receiving yards, 75 receptions on 105 targets, and 7 receiving touchdowns that year, a stat line that established him as a legitimate WR1 in half-PPR formats. That production is real, it is on the record, and it is the reason his name still surfaces in draft conversations. For a drafter willing to bet on a return to that form, the historical ceiling is documented.
What the model projects
The projection is 0.0 fantasy points. Every percentile in the outcome band, from p10 through p90, also sits at 0.0. The draft value is -128.8, and Aiyuk ranks #883 overall and WR337 in Tier 9. These numbers reflect where the model currently places him for the 2026 season.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 105 | 75 | 1342 | 7 | 1 | 211.7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 25 | 374 | — | — | 49.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 76 | 50 | 858 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 131.8 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band offers no spread here. The p10, p25, p50, p75, and p90 all land at 0.0 points. There is no simulated season in the distribution that produces fantasy scoring. The three-year aggregate from 2023 through 2025 shows 858 receiving yards, 50 receptions, 76 targets, and 3.5 receiving touchdowns per season on average, a figure pulled down sharply from the 2023 peak by the 2024 line of 374 yards and 25 receptions on 47 targets. The 2025 season data, folded into that aggregate, continues the downward pressure. The historical record shows both what this player has been capable of and how far the recent numbers have fallen from that standard.
How to draft him
Aiyuk is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. With a projection of 0.0 points and a draft value of -128.8, he sits at WR337 and #883 overall in Tier 9. At this stage of the rankings, the practical drafting question is not when to spend a pick but whether to spend one at all. His bye is Week 8. If a drafter is building a deep roster with a specific roster-construction reason to hold him, the historical 2023 ceiling provides the only fantasy-relevant argument. The current numbers do not.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects 0.0 fantasy points with a draft value of -128.8, ranking him WR337 and #883 overall in Tier 9. He carries no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. The 2023 season showed a genuine WR1 ceiling, but the current projection does not support spending a meaningful pick on him.
In 2023 he posted 1,342 receiving yards, 75 receptions on 105 targets, and 7 receiving touchdowns. That is the high-water mark in the FACTS provided.
The 2023-2025 aggregate works out to 858 receiving yards, 50 receptions, 76 targets, and 3.5 receiving touchdowns per season. The 2024 line of 374 yards and 25 receptions on 47 targets pulled that average well below the 2023 peak, and the 2025 data continues that trend.
Week 8.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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