#922 overall · NO · 38.8 projected half-PPR pts · -127.0 Draft Value
Charlie Smyth — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Charlie Smyth is a kicker on the New Orleans Saints roster with a Week 8 bye. In most 12-team half-PPR leagues, kickers are the last position filled, and Smyth sits at K44 with a draftValue of -138.2, meaning the case for rostering him in a standard snake draft is thin by design. That is not a knock on Smyth specifically; it is simply where the numbers land. If you are in a deep league that requires a kicker and you are working the late rounds, he is a name to know.
What the model projects
The projection for Smyth is 38.8 half-PPR fantasy points on the season. He ranks #924 overall and K44 at his position, sitting in Tier 9. His draftValue is -138.2, placing him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The median outcome (p50) is 19.6 points, well below the 38.8 point projection, which signals that a meaningful share of simulated seasons pull the average upward. At the low end, the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 0.0 points (p10), and the 25th percentile is just 2.6 points (p25). On the upside, the 75th percentile reaches 47.8 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 71.9 points (p90). The gap between the median and the projection, and the floor sitting at zero, reflects the high variance inherent to the kicker position.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Smyth is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In a standard 12-team snake draft, that means he is effectively a waiver-wire name rather than a pick you need to plan around. If your league requires a kicker and you reach the final rounds without one, he is available as a late flier, but there is no pick cost to protect against at this time.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 38.8 half-PPR fantasy points. His median simulated season (p50) is 19.6 points, and his top-10-percent outcome (p90) reaches 71.9 points.
He ranks K44 at his position and #924 overall, placing him in Tier 9 with a draftValue of -138.2.
The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 0.0 points (p10), and the 25th percentile is just 2.6 points (p25), so a zero-point season is a real possibility in the model's outcome distribution.
Smyth does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is effectively undrafted and available as a waiver-wire add rather than a pick you need to budget for.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.