#920 overall · BUF · 47.2 projected half-PPR pts · -118.6 Draft Value
Michael Badgley — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Michael Badgley is on the Buffalo roster, and that is the starting point for any kicker argument. In 2025 he connected on 11 of 12 field goal attempts, missed just one kick, and converted 20 of 25 extra point tries. Seven of those field goals came from 40 yards or beyond, including two from 50-plus, which signals he was trusted on longer attempts. The three-year aggregate tells a similar story: 7.5 field goals per season on 8 attempts, with an average of just 0.5 misses per year. Efficiency has been the consistent thread across his recent work.
What the model projects
The projection is 47.2 half-PPR fantasy points. That number sits at #666 overall and K43 in the kicker rankings, placing Badgley in Tier 9. His draft value is -126.8, which is below replacement level at the position. The projection and the rank are consistent with each other: this is a deep-roster kicker, not a target in any meaningful draft window.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | — | 13 | 26.0 |
| 2025 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 61.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 7.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | 16.0 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, and the shape of it is worth understanding. The p10 is 0.0 points, meaning the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons produces nothing. The p25 is 1.3 points. The median simulated season lands at 10.1 points. From there the upside opens up: the p75 is 49.6 points and the p90 reaches 94.2 points. That gap between the median and the upper percentiles is substantial. Most simulated seasons cluster near the low end; the high-end outcomes are real but not the central expectation.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Badgley has no market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on any of the platforms that feed the median. In a standard snake draft he is a late-round or post-draft addition at best. His rank and tier reflect a player who projects below replacement level, so the calculus is straightforward: he is a waiver-wire name, not a pick you spend in any round with meaningful opportunity cost.
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Questions drafters ask
The model has him at K43 and #666 overall with a draft value of -126.8, which is below replacement level. He carries no market ADP across public drafts, meaning the market is not treating him as a draftable asset. He is a waiver-wire consideration, not a pick.
In 2025 he made 11 of 12 field goal attempts with one miss. In 2023 he converted all 4 of his attempts. The three-year average works out to 7.5 made field goals on 8 attempts per season, with 0.5 misses per year.
The p90 outcome across simulated seasons is 94.2 half-PPR points, and the p75 is 49.6. Those are real numbers, but the median simulated season is only 10.1 points and the p10 is 0.0, so the distribution is heavily skewed toward low outcomes with a long tail of upside.
Yes. Of his 11 made field goals in 2025, five came from 40-49 yards and two from 50 or more yards, accounting for seven of his eleven makes from beyond 40 yards.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.