#377 overall · CLE · 81.5 projected half-PPR pts · -84.4 Draft Value
Andre Szmyt — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Andre Szmyt handled kicking duties for Cleveland in 2025, connecting on 24 of 27 field goal attempts and 25 of 26 extra point attempts. The accuracy picture is clean: three misses across 27 tries, with 10 of those makes coming from 40 yards or beyond, including five from 50-plus. The three-year aggregate through 2023-2025 matches the 2025 season exactly, which tells you his workload was concentrated in that single year. Cleveland's bye falls in Week 11, a standard mid-season consideration. His tier is Tier 9 and his position rank is K34, so the case for drafting him rests almost entirely on roster-spot strategy rather than projected scoring upside.
What the model projects
The projection is 81.5 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -84.4, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks #306 overall. Those numbers are what they are: a kicker at the back of the rankings with a negative surplus over replacement.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 3 | 25 | 109.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24 | 3 | 25 | 22.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons land at 0.0 points, and the 25th percentile is just 6.7. The median simulated season comes in at 51.0 points. The 75th percentile reaches 106.5, and the top 10% of simulated seasons finish at 146.1. That spread from floor to ceiling is substantial, reflecting the high variance inherent to the kicker position. A strong season is possible, but the median outcome is well below the projection's headline number, and the downside includes a near-zero floor.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Szmyt is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or undrafted addition in most 2026 snake drafts. At K34 and #306 overall with a negative draft value, he is a depth option at best. If you are carrying a kicker on your roster, the decision to roster Szmyt comes down to whether Cleveland's offense gives him enough scoring opportunities to outperform the replacement-level baseline. The numbers say that is not the expectation, but the 90th-percentile outcome at 146.1 points shows the ceiling exists if volume and accuracy align.
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Questions drafters ask
His projection is 81.5 points with a draft value of -84.4, placing him below replacement level at K34 and #306 overall in Tier 9. The median simulated season is 51.0 points. The numbers do not support prioritizing a roster spot for him.
He made 24 of 27 field goal attempts and 25 of 26 extra point attempts in 2025, missing three field goals across the season. Ten of his 24 makes came from 40 yards or beyond, with five from 50-plus.
The 10th-percentile simulated season is 0.0 points and the 25th percentile is just 6.7, so the floor is severe. Nearly a quarter of simulated seasons project him below 6.7 fantasy points for the year.
He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is effectively available off the waiver wire or as a final-pick addition in most 2026 snake drafts.
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Beyond the rankings
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