#296 overall · ARI · 40.4 projected half-PPR pts · -69.8 Draft Value
Zonovan Knight — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Zonovan Knight's 2025 season is the reason his name belongs on any deep-league list. He carried the ball 82 times for 269 yards, caught 22 of 31 targets for 160 receiving yards, and scored five touchdowns (four rushing, one receiving). That catch rate and that target volume signal genuine involvement in the passing game, not just a handoff role. The three-year aggregate tells a more measured story: 42.5 rush attempts, 16 targets, and 141 rushing yards per season on average. But 2025 was a clear step forward in usage, and that trajectory is the foundation of any case for drafting him.
What the model projects
The projection is 40.3 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. Knight sits at RB71 and #326 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -88.1, which is below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. These numbers reflect where he stands in the rankings right now. His bye week is Week 14.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 13 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | — | — | 2.6 |
| 2025 | 82 | 269 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 160 | 1 | 1 | 81.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 42.5 | 141 | 2 | 16 | 11.5 | 84 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 43.3 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, and that width is the defining feature of Knight's outlook. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons lands at 0.0 points. The 25th percentile is 7.4 points. The median simulated season produces 23.5 points. At the 75th percentile, outcomes climb to 59.2 points, and the top 10% of simulated seasons reaches 94.2 points. The gap between the median and the 90th percentile is substantial: roughly 70 points separates a typical season from a strong one. That kind of spread means the upside is real, but so is the floor of near-zero production. This is a high-variance roster spot.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Knight does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms tracked. In a 12-team half-PPR league, he is a late-round or post-draft addition: a stash on the back end of your roster if you have the space. His projection and draft value place him well outside the range where you would spend a meaningful pick. The play here is depth and upside speculation, not a planned contributor. If your roster construction allows for a speculative final pick or a waiver-wire add, Knight's 2025 usage gives him a plausible path to relevance. His ARI affiliation and Week 14 bye are worth noting for playoff scheduling purposes.
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Questions drafters ask
He does not have a consistent market ADP across tracked platforms, meaning most drafters are not spending a pick on him at all. His projection is 40.3 points and his draft value is -88.1, placing him at RB71 and #326 overall in Tier 9. He is a post-draft or final-pick speculative add, not a planned roster contributor.
He carried the ball 82 times for 269 yards and four rushing touchdowns, and caught 22 of 31 targets for 160 receiving yards and one receiving touchdown. He also lost one fumble. It was a meaningful uptick in usage compared to his 2023 line of 3 rush attempts and 1 reception.
The 90th-percentile simulated season lands at 94.2 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile is 59.2 points. Those outcomes require things to break favorably, but the 2025 usage volume shows the role can exist. The median simulated season is 23.5 points, so the typical outcome is modest.
Very. The simulated season band runs from 0.0 points at the 10th percentile to 94.2 at the 90th percentile. The 25th percentile is just 7.4 points. That spread means a near-zero season is a real possibility, and the upside is concentrated in a relatively small slice of outcomes.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.