RotoAlpha

#192 overall · GB · 120.7 projected half-PPR pts · -45.2 Draft Value

Trey Smack — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Trey Smack is a kicker on a Green Bay roster, and in the late rounds of a snake draft that context is about as much as you can ask for. The projection sits at 115.5 half-PPR points, and the upside band reaches 146.6 at the 90th percentile. For a position where most drafters are simply looking for a floor and a competent offense behind the kicker, those numbers give you something to work with. His bye falls on Week 11, which is late enough that it rarely disrupts the early weeks of a fantasy playoff push.

What the model projects

The projection is 115.5 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season lands at 113.7 points, close to the point estimate. His draft value is -60.0, placing him #234 overall and K16 in Tier 9. A negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That is the honest read on where he stands in the rankings.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide. At the 10th percentile, a bad season finishes at 49.2 points. The 25th percentile comes in at 87.0, and the median is 113.7. A strong season at the 75th percentile reaches 136.5, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 146.6 or better. That spread from 49.2 to 146.6 reflects the inherent volatility of the kicker position: the floor is genuinely low, and the ceiling is real but not guaranteed.

Range of season outcomes — half-PPR points
68.1bad season
(bottom 10%)
123.1typical season
(median)
149.7great season
(top 10%)
50% of all seasons: 98.9–141.1
120.7
our projection

How to draft him

Smack is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no public consensus pick number to reference. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or end-of-draft selection in most leagues. At K16 with a negative draft value, he is a depth option rather than a target. Draft your starters at every other position first. If you circle back to the kicker slot in the final rounds and Smack is still on the list, the 115.5-point projection and the Green Bay offense give him a baseline worth considering at that stage.

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Questions drafters ask

What is Trey Smack's projection for 2026?

The projection is 115.5 half-PPR fantasy points, with a median simulated season of 113.7 points.

Where does Smack rank among kickers?

He ranks K16 at the kicker position and #234 overall, placing him in Tier 9 with a draft value of -60.0.

What is his bye week?

Smack's bye week is Week 11.

What does his outcome band look like?

The band runs from 49.2 points at the 10th percentile to 146.6 at the 90th percentile, with a 25th percentile of 87.0 and a 75th percentile of 136.5.

Practice it in a free mock draft →

Beyond the rankings

This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.

Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.

RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.

Profiles and history are free and never expire. Draft night itself is the Football 2026 Season Pass: $39 once, no subscription, money back through your first real draft.

Final standings: your league
1st · “Greg” (again)3rd title in 5 years
2nd · “The Commish”6 straight playoffs
3rd · “Homer”5 straight playoffs
7th · YouMissed again

Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.

Projections are RotoAlpha's own model, recalculated daily through draft season · How our projections are built · Rankings · Pricing
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