#926 overall · IND · 35.3 projected half-PPR pts · -130.5 Draft Value
Spencer Shrader — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Spencer Shrader handled every extra point attempt in 2025, converting all 14, and finished the year 13-for-14 on field goals with one miss. That accuracy rate is clean. His 2025 line also included a 50-plus-yard make, showing he has the leg for distance attempts. Over the three-year aggregate from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 9 field goals and 11.5 extra points per season on 9.5 field goal attempts, with just 0.5 misses per season. The efficiency picture is tidy even if the volume is modest.
What the model projects
The projection is 35.3 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. Shrader sits at K48 and #928 overall, landing in Tier 9. His draft value is -140.7, which places him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Indianapolis has a Week 13 bye.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | — | 9 | 26.0 |
| 2025 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 56.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 9 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 11.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons lands at 0.0 points, and the 25th percentile is just 0.4. The median simulated season comes in at 5.7 points. The 75th percentile reaches 33.2, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finishes at 69.6. That spread reflects how volatile kicker scoring can be at this level of projected volume. Most simulated seasons cluster near the low end; the upside tail is real but requires things to break right.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Shrader is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In a standard 12-team snake draft, that means he is available as a free agent or a very late add rather than a pick you need to plan around. At K48 and #928 overall with a -140.7 draft value, he is a depth option at best. If you are filling a kicker slot in the final rounds and he is still on the list, the efficiency numbers from 2025 give you something to work with, but the projection and rank reflect a player well outside the range where a pick carries meaningful expected value.
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Questions drafters ask
His 2025 season shows 13 made field goals on 14 attempts with a perfect 14-for-14 on extra points, and the three-year aggregate puts his miss rate at 0.5 per season on 9.5 attempts. The accuracy is solid. The question is volume, not reliability.
The simulated season band runs from 0.0 points at the 10th percentile to 69.6 at the 90th, with a median of just 5.7. The distribution is heavily skewed: most simulated seasons finish near zero, but the upper tail reaches into genuinely useful territory.
There is no market ADP available for Shrader, which means he is not being consistently drafted across platforms. You do not need to spend a pick to secure him in a standard 12-team snake draft.
Shrader went 13-for-14 on field goals, including 10 makes from 0 to 39 yards, 2 from 40 to 49, and 1 from 50-plus. He was a perfect 14-for-14 on extra points.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.