#925 overall · GB · 35.3 projected half-PPR pts · -130.5 Draft Value
Lucas Havrisik — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Lucas Havrisik is the kicker for the Green Bay Packers. His 2023 season showed real range: 15 field goals made on 20 attempts, including 2 from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus, alongside 19 of 22 extra points. That is a kicker who can contribute across all distance tiers when given the opportunity. The 50-plus makes in particular signal the leg strength that keeps a kicker relevant in high-leverage situations.
What the model projects
The projection is 35.3 half-PPR fantasy points. Havrisik sits at K47 and #927 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -141.7, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The three-year aggregate (2023-2025) shows averages of 9.5 field goals made, 12 attempts, 2.5 misses, and 13 extra points per season, reflecting a limited and inconsistent workload across that window.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 65.0 |
| 2025 | 4 | — | 7 | 22.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 9.5 | 2.5 | 13 | 10.5 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide and skewed. The p10 and p25 both sit at 0.0 points, meaning at least a quarter of simulated seasons produce nothing. The median simulated season (p50) lands at just 5.5 points. The p75 reaches 29.0 points, and the p90 climbs to 67.2. That top-decile outcome is meaningful, but the floor is severe. A drafter taking Havrisik needs to accept that the most likely simulated result is a near-zero fantasy contribution, with upside concentrated in a narrow slice of outcomes.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Havrisik does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently selected in drafts tracked across platforms. In a standard snake draft, kickers are typically taken in the final rounds as roster fillers. His rank of K47 and Tier 9 placement reflect a player at the back of the position. If you are building a deep roster and want a late-round kicker with demonstrated long-range capability from his 2023 work, Havrisik is a name to know, but the projection and the outcome band both make clear this is a low-floor, low-ceiling speculative add.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
Yes. In 2023 he made 2 field goals from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus yards out of 20 total attempts, showing he has the range to convert from distance.
The model projects 35.3 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks K47 and #927 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -141.7, which is below replacement level at the position.
The p10 and p25 of the outcome band are both 0.0 points, and the median simulated season (p50) is only 5.5 points. At least half of simulated seasons produce essentially nothing.
He does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across tracked platforms to produce one. He is effectively undrafted in most public 2026 leagues.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.