#123 overall · LAC · 96.2 projected half-PPR pts · -19.6 Draft Value
Oronde Gadsden — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Oronde Gadsden put up every receiving yard, reception, and touchdown in his three-year aggregate in a single 2025 season: 664 yards, 49 catches on 69 targets, and 3 receiving touchdowns for the Chargers. That is a clean, uncluttered track record from a tight end who has already demonstrated he can handle a full season's workload at the NFL level. For a position where reliable target volume is scarce, 69 looks in one year is a real foundation to build a projection on.
What the model projects
The projection is 98.8 half-PPR fantasy points. Gadsden sits at TE13 and #126 overall, landing in Tier 9. His draft value is -21.1, which places him below replacement level at the tight end position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The point estimate of 98.8 sits below the band median of 109.3, so the distribution carries a modest upside lean. His bye week is Week 7.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 69 | 49 | 664 | 3 | 1 | 106.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 69 | 49 | 664 | 3 | 1 | 108.9 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. At the low end, 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or below 43.7 points, a figure that reflects how quickly a tight end's fantasy value can evaporate. The 25th percentile lands at 74.0 and the median at 109.3. Things get more interesting toward the top: the 75th percentile reaches 131.7 and the 90th percentile climbs to 159.1. That upper tail is meaningful. A drafter targeting Gadsden is accepting a real floor risk in exchange for a ceiling that clears the threshold of weekly relevance in most formats.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Gadsden does not have a market ADP across public 2026 draft platforms, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to produce a reliable median pick number. He is a late-round or undrafted target in most leagues right now. At TE13 with a negative draft value, he profiles as a depth option or a late speculative add rather than a starter you build around. If you are carrying a stronger tight end ahead of him, Gadsden is the kind of high-ceiling handcuff worth stashing in the final rounds. If you are counting on him as your primary tight end, the floor at the 10th percentile demands a backup plan.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 49 passes on 69 targets for 664 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. That 2025 season also accounts for his entire three-year aggregate, meaning 2025 was his only season with recorded stats in the FACTS window.
TE13, which translates to #126 overall in a 12-team half-PPR format. He sits in Tier 9 with a draft value of -21.1, placing him below replacement level at the position.
The 90th-percentile simulated season lands at 159.1 half-PPR points, and the 75th percentile reaches 131.7. Those figures represent the top 10 percent and top 25 percent of simulated outcomes respectively.
There is no market ADP available for Gadsden across public 2026 draft platforms, so he is not being consistently drafted. He is a late-round or undrafted option in most leagues at this stage.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.