#84 overall · MIN · 142.6 projected half-PPR pts · -3.2 Draft Value
Minnesota Vikings — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Minnesota has been one of the more consistent pass-rush units in the league over the past three seasons. The Vikings averaged 46.7 sacks per year from 2023 through 2025, with the number climbing each season: 43 in 2023, 48 in 2024, and 49 in 2025. Turnover production has been real, too. The three-year average sits at 14.3 interceptions and 11 fumble recoveries per season. The 2024 campaign was the interception peak at 24, and while 2025 came back to earth at 8, the fumble-recovery side improved to 13 that year. Two safeties in 2024 and one in 2025 add the kind of bonus scoring that quietly separates DST finishes. Points allowed has trended in the right direction: 362 in 2023, 332 in 2024, 333 in 2025. The unit has posted at least one shutout in each of the last two seasons and held opponents to six points or fewer at least once in both 2024 and 2025. That is a floor worth noting for a DST.
What the model projects
The projection is 142.6 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That places Minnesota at DST3 and #83 overall, sitting in Tier 9. The draft value is -3.2, meaning the projection lands just below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number reflects a unit that has produced consistently but not at a level that separates it from the DST pack in value-over-replacement terms.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 0 | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 22 | 11 | — | — | 362 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | — | 132.0 |
| 2024 | 48 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 332 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | 169.0 |
| 2025 | 49 | 8 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 333 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 143.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 46.7 | 14.3 | 17.3 | 11 | 1 | 1.3 | 342.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 123.2 |
The range of outcomes
DST scoring is inherently volatile, and Minnesota's own history illustrates the range. Interceptions swung from 24 in 2024 to 8 in 2025. Fumbles forced went from 22 in 2023 down to 12 in 2024, then back up to 18 in 2025. The points-allowed distribution shows the unit can be elite in a given week: two shutouts across 2024 and 2025, and multiple games allowing seven points or fewer. On the other end, Minnesota allowed 28 or more points in six games in 2023, four in 2024, and two in 2025, including one 35-plus game in 2025. The sack floor looks reliable given three straight seasons above 43, but the turnover ceiling is the variable that will determine whether this DST finishes as a top-three option or fades into the middle of the position.
How to draft him
Minnesota does not have a market ADP available, meaning the unit is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce a reliable median pick number. That makes timing harder to pin down. What the rankings say is clear: DST3 and #83 overall in Tier 9. A draftValue of -3.2 puts the projection just below replacement level, so the calculus is whether the sack consistency and the upside in the turnover game justify a late-round DST commitment. Note the bye week: Week 6. Plan your streaming options accordingly so you are not caught without DST coverage during that stretch.
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Questions drafters ask
Consistently and with upward momentum. The Vikings posted 43 sacks in 2023, 48 in 2024, and 49 in 2025, for a three-year average of 46.7 per season.
It is a real swing worth tracking. Minnesota had 24 interceptions in 2024 and just 8 in 2025. The three-year average is 14.3 per season, so 2024 was the outlier high and 2025 was the outlier low. Fumble recoveries moved the other direction, improving from 9 in 2024 to 13 in 2025, which partially offset the interception decline in overall turnover production.
The projection is 142.6 half-PPR fantasy points, which ranks the Vikings DST3 and #83 overall in Tier 9. The draft value is -3.2, placing the projection just below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
There is no market ADP available for Minnesota, so there is no reliable median pick number to reference. The rankings place them at DST3 and #83 overall. Also factor in their Week 6 bye when planning your DST roster depth.
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Beyond the rankings
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