#239 overall · LV · 52.4 projected half-PPR pts · -57.8 Draft Value
Mike Washington — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Mike Washington is a Las Vegas Raiders running back sitting at RB64 and #303 overall in a 12-team half-PPR context. At that depth, the case for drafting him is almost entirely about late-roster speculation. He carries a Tier 9 designation, which places him firmly in the territory where drafters are hunting for upside rather than counting on a floor. His projection of 45.6 points is modest, but the top of his outcome band reaches 104.0 points, which means a meaningful role is at least a possibility the numbers acknowledge. For a drafter building out the back end of a roster, Washington represents a low-cost dart throw on a player who could outperform his current standing if circumstances break his way.
What the model projects
The projection is 45.6 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. His draft value sits at -83.9, meaning he projects below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR league. He is ranked RB64 at the position and #303 overall. His bye week is Week 13.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band on Washington is wide and skewed heavily toward the low end. The p10 is 0.0 points, meaning in the worst 10 percent of simulated seasons he contributes nothing. The p25 is 9.0 points and the median simulated season lands at 28.3 points. The upside scenarios are more interesting: the p75 is 68.0 points and the p90 reaches 104.0 points. That gap between the median and the 90th percentile is substantial. Most simulated seasons cluster near the bottom, but the distribution has a real tail. This is a high-variance profile, not a steady-contributor one.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Washington does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. In practice, he is available as a free pickup in most drafts rather than a pick you need to spend. If you want him on your roster, the cost is likely minimal or nothing at draft time. He fits as a final-round stash or a post-draft waiver target, not as a player you need to plan a pick around. His Tier 9 standing and below-replacement projection confirm he belongs at the very back of any roster consideration.
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Questions drafters ask
Washington has no market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently selected at all. He projects at 45.6 points with a draft value of -83.9, placing him below replacement level at RB64 and #303 overall. He is a post-draft waiver candidate more than a pick-worthy target.
The p90 of his outcome band is 104.0 half-PPR points, and the p75 is 68.0 points. Those are the top-end simulated seasons. The median simulated season is 28.3 points, so the upside scenarios are real but represent a minority of outcomes.
The p10 of his outcome band is 0.0 points and the p25 is 9.0 points. In the bottom quarter of simulated seasons he contributes almost nothing. His floor is essentially zero, which is consistent with his Tier 9 designation and below-replacement draft value.
Washington and the Las Vegas Raiders are on bye in Week 13.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.