#80 overall · PHI · 113.8 projected half-PPR pts · -1.4 Draft Value
Makai Lemon — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Makai Lemon is a wide receiver on a Philadelphia Eagles offense that has consistently generated fantasy-relevant production at the position. At WR51 in a 12-team half-PPR format, he sits at the outer edge of the positional pool, which means the case for drafting him is almost entirely a late-round upside play. His projection of 110.0 half-PPR points is a real number, not a token one, and his p90 outcome of 182.6 points shows there is a ceiling worth chasing if things break right. Drafters who want a late-roster flier with a recognizable offense behind him will find Lemon fits that profile.
What the model projects
The projection is 110.0 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. His draft value is -19.2, placing him #123 overall in Tier 9. A negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR league. The median simulated season, at 102.5 points, runs slightly below the point estimate of 110.0. His bye week is Week 10.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, which is the defining characteristic of a player at this tier. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 37.0 points, a near-zero fantasy contribution. The 25th percentile is 65.8 points, still well below replacement. The median sits at 102.5 points. From there the upside opens up: the 75th percentile reaches 137.8 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 182.6 points. That p90 number is the reason a drafter might take a late flier here. The gap between the floor and the ceiling is substantial, so this is a high-variance roster spot, not a reliable weekly contributor.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
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our projection
How to draft him
The market is drafting Lemon at an average pick of 107.5, which works out to pick 9.12 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. He is ranked #123 overall by draft value. In practical terms, you are looking at a Round 9 commitment to land him. At that stage of the draft your roster core is set, and Lemon is the kind of pick that makes sense only if you are comfortable with the wide variance his outcome band shows. His Week 10 bye is worth noting when building your schedule around late-round receivers.
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Questions drafters ask
His draft value is -19.2, meaning the projection of 110.0 points sits below replacement level at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format. He is ranked WR51 and #123 overall in Tier 9. He is a below-replacement-level option by the numbers, so he is best treated as a late-roster flier rather than a reliable contributor.
The top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 182.6 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile outcome is 137.8 points. Those are the ceiling numbers the band supports.
The market ADP is 107.5, which translates to pick 9.12 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. Plan to spend a Round 9 pick if you want him.
The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 37.0 half-PPR points, and the 25th percentile is 65.8 points. His downside is a near-zero fantasy season, which is the risk that comes with a Tier 9 wide receiver.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.