RotoAlpha

#133 overall · LAC · 121.4 projected half-PPR pts · -24.4 Draft Value

Los Angeles Chargers — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

The Chargers have posted 45 or more sacks in each of the last three seasons, averaging 46 per year across 2023-2025. The interception numbers have climbed steadily: 9 in 2023, 15 in 2024, 19 in 2025, with a three-year average of 14.3. That is a pass-rush unit that generates consistent pressure and a secondary that converts opportunities into turnovers. Fumble forcing has been reliable as well, averaging 11 per year over the same stretch. For a drafter who needs a late-round DST with a proven track record of big-play production, the underlying numbers are real.

What the model projects

The projection is 121.4 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value sits at -24.4, placing the Chargers at DST10 and #131 overall in Tier 9. That combination tells you the model sees a unit that falls below replacement level at the position in this format. The bye is Week 7, which is early enough to require a streaming plan for that week.

SacksINTFFFRTDSafPAPA 0PA 1-6PA 7-13PA 14-20PA 21-27PA 28-34PA 35+Half-PPR
202348915121—3981124513127.0
20244515861—301—157211130.0
20254519104—1340——474—2118.0
3-yr avg4614.3117.30.70.3346.3———————105.0

The range of outcomes

The three-year history shows meaningful variance in the categories that swing DST scoring the most. Points allowed ranged from 301 in 2024 to 398 in 2023, with 2025 landing at 340. The number of games allowing 35 or more points was 3 in 2023, dropped to 1 in 2024, then ticked back up to 2 in 2025. Touchdown returns have been sparse, averaging 0.7 per year. The interception trend is the clearest upside lever: if the 2025 pace of 19 holds, the scoring floor rises. If points allowed creep back toward 2023 levels, the floor drops. The unit has shown it can live at either end of that range.

How to draft him

The Chargers carry no market ADP across tracked platforms, so there is no consistent draft-slot price to report. In practice that means this unit is available as a late-add or a final-round flier in most drafts. At DST10 and #131 overall, the ranking reflects a below-replacement projection, so the appropriate use case is as a secondary DST: a streaming option or a handcuff for your primary unit during its Week 7 bye. Plan to have a replacement ready for that week regardless of how you roster this defense.

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Questions drafters ask

How has the Chargers pass rush held up over the last three seasons?

Consistently. They recorded 48 sacks in 2023, 45 in 2024, and 45 in 2025, for a three-year average of 46 sacks per season.

Is the interception production sustainable or was 2025 a fluke?

The trend has moved in one direction: 9 interceptions in 2023, 15 in 2024, 19 in 2025. The three-year average is 14.3, so 2025 was the high point of a rising line, not an isolated spike.

What does the model project for the Chargers DST this season?

The projection is 121.4 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -24.4, which places them at DST10 and #131 overall in Tier 9, below replacement level at the position.

When is the Chargers bye and does it affect how I should roster them?

Their bye is Week 7. That is early in the season, so if you roster the Chargers as your primary DST you will need a streaming option ready for that week.

Practice it in a free mock draft →

Beyond the rankings

This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.

Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.

RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.

Profiles and history are free and never expire. Draft night itself is the Football 2026 Season Pass: $39 once, no subscription, money back through your first real draft.

Final standings: your league
1st · “Greg” (again)3rd title in 5 years
2nd · “The Commish”6 straight playoffs
3rd · “Homer”5 straight playoffs
7th · YouMissed again

Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.

Projections are RotoAlpha's own model, recalculated daily through draft season · How our projections are built · Rankings · Pricing
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