#228 overall · TEN · 59.1 projected half-PPR pts · -56.1 Draft Value
Chimere Dike — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Chimere Dike put up 74 targets, 48 receptions, 423 receiving yards, and 4 receiving touchdowns for Tennessee in 2025. That is a real NFL target share on a real NFL roster, and it represents the entirety of his three-year statistical footprint — every catch, every yard, every score came in that single season. He also logged 11 rush attempts for 18 yards, showing some involvement as a runner. For a drafter working the late rounds or the waiver wire, that 2025 season is the evidence that Dike can hold a role when given one.
What the model projects
The projection is 59.1 half-PPR fantasy points. That sits below replacement level for the wide receiver position, reflected in a draft value of -70.1. He ranks WR89 at the position and #265 overall, placing him in Tier 9. The point estimate is lower than his 2025 actual production, and the median simulated season (p50) of 40.6 points is lower still. These numbers describe a player the model sees as a fringe contributor in the current projection cycle.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 74 | 48 | 423 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 92.1 |
| 3-yr avg | 74 | 48 | 423 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 92.1 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. At the pessimistic end, 10% of simulated seasons land at or below 3.7 points — essentially a non-factor. The 25th percentile is 18.1 points, still well below useful fantasy production. The median sits at 40.6 points. Move up to the 75th percentile and the number climbs to 74.3 points, approaching the territory of a low-end flex contributor. The 90th-percentile outcome is 118.8 points, which would represent a meaningful fantasy asset. The gap between the floor and the ceiling here is substantial; this is a high-variance profile.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Dike is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick cost to plan around. In a 12-team half-PPR snake draft he is a player to monitor on the waiver wire rather than a target on draft day. His bye is Week 9. If you are building a deep roster and want a late-season speculative add, the 2025 stat line gives you a real data point to anchor that decision — but the projection and draft value both say he is outside the range of players worth spending a pick on in most formats.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects him at 59.1 points with a draft value of -70.1, placing him at WR89 and #265 overall in Tier 9. He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently across platforms. The numbers put him outside the range of players typically worth a draft pick in standard 12-team formats.
His entire three-year statistical record matches his 2025 season alone: 74 targets, 48 receptions, 423 receiving yards, 4 receiving touchdowns, 11 rush attempts, and 18 rush yards — all accumulated in that single year.
The 90th-percentile simulated outcome is 118.8 points in half-PPR. The 75th percentile is 74.3 points. Both represent meaningful jumps from the 59.1-point projection and the 40.6-point median simulated season, indicating a wide outcome band with real upside at the top end.
Tennessee's bye is Week 9.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.