#170 overall · KC · 108.8 projected half-PPR pts · -37.0 Draft Value
Kansas City Chiefs — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Kansas City Chiefs DST carries real pedigree in the turnover column. Over the past three seasons, the unit has averaged 10.3 interceptions and 6.7 fumble recoveries per year, with a three-year sack average of 43. The 2023 season stands as the high-water mark for pass rush, with 57 sacks, and the interception total actually climbed in 2024 to 13. The unit also posted a shutout in 2025, one of the harder outcomes to achieve at the DST position. For a drafter who wants a recognizable name at a late-round flier spot, the Chiefs have the turnover history to justify a look.
What the model projects
The projection is 108.8 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -37.0, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the DST position. That places the Chiefs DST at DST22 and #172 overall, in Tier 9.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | PA | PA 0 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 57 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 294 | — | 4 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 131.0 |
| 2024 | 39 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 326 | — | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 113.0 |
| 2025 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 328 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | — | 92.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 43 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 6.7 | 316 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 89.7 |
The range of outcomes
The recent stat lines illustrate how wide the variance can be for this unit. Sacks have declined from 57 in 2023 to 39 in 2024 to 33 in 2025. Points allowed have moved in the wrong direction as well, rising from 294 in 2023 to 326 in 2024 to 328 in 2025. The game-by-game scoring distribution reflects that trend: in 2023 the unit held opponents to 13 or fewer points in four games; by 2025 that number had dropped to two. On the other side, the 2025 season included three games where opponents scored 28-34 points, compared to just one such game in 2024 and none in 2023. The shutout in 2025 shows the ceiling is still present, but the floor has gotten softer.
How to draft him
The Chiefs DST is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. At DST22 and #172 overall, this is a deep-roster option at best. The bye week falls in Week 5, which is early enough to require a streaming plan from the jump. Given the negative draft value, the practical use case is as a late-round handcuff or a streaming placeholder rather than a unit you commit to for a full season.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects 108.8 points with a draft value of -37.0, placing the unit at DST22 and #172 overall in Tier 9. That is below replacement level at the position, so the projection alone does not make a strong case for rostering them over the course of a full season.
Sacks were 57 in 2023, dropped to 39 in 2024, and fell further to 33 in 2025. The three-year average is 43 sacks per season.
Their bye falls in Week 5. That is an early absence, so any drafter who rostered them would need a streaming replacement ready almost immediately after the season starts.
Reasonably so. Interceptions were 8 in 2023, 13 in 2024, and 10 in 2025, for a three-year average of 10.3. Fumbles forced averaged 12.7 per year over that same span, though fumble recoveries averaged only 6.7, reflecting the luck-dependent nature of that category.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.