#309 overall · DET · 42.7 projected half-PPR pts · -72.5 Draft Value
Isaac TeSlaa — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Isaac TeSlaa is a wide receiver on a Detroit Lions offense that has shown it can support fantasy-relevant pass-catchers. His 2025 season produced 6 receiving touchdowns on just 27 targets, a touchdown rate that stands out on its own terms. For a drafter hunting late-roster upside, that kind of scoring efficiency on limited volume is the core of the argument. If his target share grows, the touchdown production gives him a real ceiling.
What the model projects
The projection is 42.7 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. TeSlaa sits at WR105 and #307 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -86.1, which means the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number reflects a player whose role is currently limited, and the projection follows from that.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | 16 | 239 | 6 | 67.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 27 | 16 | 239 | 6 | 67.9 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, which is the defining feature of TeSlaa's profile. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons lands at 0.0 points. The 25th percentile is 8.5 points. The median simulated season comes in at 25.1 points. Move to the 75th percentile and the number jumps to 56.9 points; the top 10% of simulated seasons reaches 95.1 points. That gap between the median and the 90th percentile is substantial. The floor is real and the ceiling is genuine, and the distance between them is large.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
TeSlaa does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being drafted consistently enough to register a median pick. In a snake draft, that translates to a free agent or a final-round flier at best. His Tier 9 placement and WR105 rank put him at the outer edge of any roster construction. He belongs on the waiver wire watch list of a drafter who wants a late-round touchdown-dependent upside play, with the understanding that the median outcome is a near-zero fantasy contribution. His bye is Week 6.
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Questions drafters ask
His 2025 season produced 6 receiving touchdowns on 27 targets. That touchdown rate on limited volume is the entire case. If his role expands, that scoring efficiency gives him a ceiling the projection band reflects: the 90th percentile of simulated seasons reaches 95.1 half-PPR points.
The bottom 10% of simulated seasons finishes at 0.0 fantasy points, and the 25th percentile is only 8.5 points. The floor is a near-zero fantasy contribution, and that risk is baked into his Tier 9 placement and -86.1 draft value.
He has no market ADP across public 2026 drafts, meaning he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median pick number. He is effectively a waiver-wire or final-round target, not a player who requires a committed draft slot.
All of it. The three-year aggregate from 2023 through 2025 matches his 2025 line exactly: 16 receptions, 27 targets, 239 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns. He has no recorded fantasy production from 2023 or 2024 in these facts.
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Beyond the rankings
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.