#150 overall · DAL · 116.5 projected half-PPR pts · -29.3 Draft Value
Dallas Cowboys — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Cowboys have shown genuine pass-rush production over the past three seasons. They posted 45 sacks in 2023, climbed to 51 in 2024, and recorded 34 in 2025, for a three-year average of 43.3. The turnover numbers from 2023 still stand out: 17 interceptions, 14 forced fumbles, and 9 recoveries in a single season. The three-year averages across those categories sit at 12 interceptions, 14.3 forced fumbles, and 8 recoveries per season. For a drafter who needs a late-round DST with a recognizable name and a real sack floor, Dallas checks those boxes on paper.
What the model projects
The projection is 116.5 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -29.3, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Dallas ranks #146 overall and DST15 at the position. The unit sits in Tier 9.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 0 | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 45 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 315 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 181.0 |
| 2024 | 51 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 468 | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 128.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 511 | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 62.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 43.3 | 12 | 14.3 | 8 | 4 | 1.3 | 431.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 124.2 |
The range of outcomes
The recent trend in the underlying stats tells a clear story. Points allowed rose from 315 in 2023 to 468 in 2024 to 511 in 2025. Games allowing 28 or more points went from 5 in 2023 to 7 in 2024 to 10 in 2025. Interceptions fell from 17 in 2023 to 13 in 2024 to 6 in 2025. Touchdowns scored dropped from 6 in 2023 to 4 in 2024 to 2 in 2025. The sack total also declined from 51 in 2024 to 34 in 2025. Each of those lines moved in the wrong direction last season, and the projection at 116.5 points reflects where that trajectory currently lands. Dallas also carries a Week 14 bye, which compresses the window of useful weeks further.
How to draft him
Dallas is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick-cost signal to report. What the rankings do say is this: at DST15 and #146 overall with a negative draft value, Dallas projects as a below-replacement option. A drafter who targets him should do so only as a late-roster streaming placeholder, with a clear plan to upgrade off waivers. The Week 14 bye is a real scheduling cost that needs to be accounted for when building the roster.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects Dallas at 116.5 points with a draft value of -29.3, placing them below replacement level at the position. They rank DST15 and #146 overall in Tier 9. The numbers do not support using them as a primary DST in a 12-team half-PPR league.
Points allowed rose each year: 315 in 2023, 468 in 2024, and 511 in 2025. Interceptions fell from 17 to 13 to 6. Touchdowns scored dropped from 6 to 4 to 2. Sacks went from 45 to 51 to 34. The three-year averages are 43.3 sacks, 12 interceptions, 14.3 forced fumbles, and 8 fumble recoveries per season.
Dallas is on bye in Week 14, which reduces the number of usable weeks if they are on your roster.
The 2023 season showed what the ceiling looks like: 45 sacks, 17 interceptions, 14 forced fumbles, 9 recoveries, 6 touchdowns, and 2 safeties. However, each of those categories has declined since, and the current projection of 116.5 points with a -29.3 draft value reflects the more recent trend rather than that peak.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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