Chicago Bears — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

The Bears have posted real pass-rush production across three seasons. Their sack totals read 30, 40, and 35 from 2023 through 2025, averaging 35 per year. Turnovers have been a consistent part of the profile too: the three-year averages sit at 18.7 interceptions and 9.7 fumble recoveries per season. The 2025 season added 23 interceptions, the best of the three-year window, and 35 sacks. If you need a late-round DST with a track record of generating fantasy-relevant plays, the Bears have the resume to support the conversation.

What the model projects

The projection is 128.1 half-PPR fantasy points. That places the Bears at #119 overall and DST9 in Tier 9. The draft value is -17.7, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number is real production potential; the rank and tier reflect where that potential lands relative to the full field.

The range of outcomes

The Bears' three-year history shows meaningful variance in the categories that drive DST scoring. Points allowed ranged from 370 in 2024 to 415 in 2025, a 45-point swing that directly affects fantasy scoring. Sacks swung from 30 to 40 across the same window. Interceptions moved from 11 in 2024 to 23 in 2025. Fumble recoveries ranged from 6 to 13. Touchdowns held steady at 2 to 3 per season. The game-by-game breakdown adds texture: in 2025, the Bears allowed 35-plus points in three games and held opponents to 1-6 points in one. That kind of spread from week to week is the nature of streaming the position, and the Bears are no exception.

How to draft him

The Bears are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no pick cost to plan around; they are effectively a free agent in most drafts. At DST9 with a negative draft value, the approach is straightforward: let the position fill itself with higher-ranked options first, and treat Chicago as a late-round or post-draft add if your preferred targets are gone. Their bye falls in Week 10, so factor that into any streaming plan. The sack and interception history gives them a floor worth monitoring, but the rank says to spend your picks elsewhere first.

The projection is 128.1 points and the draft value is -17.7, placing them at DST9 and #119 overall in Tier 9. That is below replacement level for the position in this format, so the model does not treat them as a must-draft option. Their three-year track record of 35 sacks and 18.7 interceptions per season is real, but the rank reflects where that output lands against the full field.

Across 2023 through 2025, they averaged 18.7 interceptions and 9.7 fumble recoveries per season. Interceptions ranged from 11 in 2024 to 23 in 2025. Fumble recoveries ranged from 6 in 2023 to 13 in 2024. The production has been present every year, though the volume swings noticeably from season to season.

They do not have a market ADP, meaning they are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. There is no pick cost to plan around. Given their DST9 rank and negative draft value, the practical approach is to address higher-ranked positions first and treat Chicago as a late or post-draft option.

In 2025, they allowed 1-6 points in 1 game, 14-20 in 7 games, 21-27 in 3 games, 28-34 in 3 games, and 35-plus in 3 games. Their season total was 415 points allowed, up from 370 in 2024 and 379 in 2023. The week-to-week spread is wide, which is typical for the position and relevant for any streaming strategy.